Ramstein is not just military assistance to Ukraine. This is a systemic transformation of the Ukrainian army

The Ramstin's applied value should be measured at least two basic parameters that are closely linked. The first is the quality and amount of military assistance that comes right now and will be provided in the medium and long term. The second is the systemic transformation of the Ukrainian army against the background of active fighting. What has not been on a similar scale since the Second World War.

What is the essence of transformation? If you visualize is to find the answer to the children's question "Who is stronger - boxer or karatist?" As you remember, our chances of successful defense were initially evaluated very modestly. Because from the outside it was similar to the fight of the Great Soviet Army (the world in the world of a boxer-supervisor) against the small Soviet army (three to four weight of the lighter opponent).

The small boxer avoided knockout in the first seconds, which caused the public's sympathy, but no more. Because the issue of time (about two months) remained when its Soviet resource is over. Smart people explained to me that, despite all the reforms and combat experience of 2014-2021, defense planning in our army was carried out according to Soviet patterns. Based on the so -called "Balance of defense potentials". Rough: If you have 10 tanks, you also have 10 similar tanks.

In confrontation with Russia, this is a clearly deaf approach. However, his adherents did not go anywhere. At the end of February 2022, a huge Soviet "defensive potential" struck on Ukraine. Thanks to the talents and stability of our army (partly - thanks to the western Western systems of the PTRC/MSRC), we have withstood the first blow, but our small Soviet potential (shells, tanks, air defense systems, etc. ) began to thaw.

As a result, the most pressing question was - how to compensate? Or try to preserve/increase the weight of the boxer by searching for Soviet weapons (which is unrealistic). Or try to turn the boxer into a karatist, equip it with asymmetrical means in the form of Western weapons (which is unknown). And ideally, to hand him a gun to eliminate the benefits of weightlifting.

I will emphasize: in March, the leadership of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine had to overcome the unlawful resistance of those who planned all their lives on the basis of "potential balance" and categorically refused to change the approach. These people demanded Soviet tanks and aircraft, shells 122/152 mm, Soviet air defense, etc. Although they knew perfectly well that they were not in the right quantities.

Forcing the transition to Western weapons is a political decision and pure voluntarism of the Minister of Defense Alexei Reznikov. After all, in March it was not clear what it would lead to. From the word at all. In addition to all the subtleties, in fact, with iron, an important difference is the Western approach to planning - on the basis of "capabilies". In short, if the enemy has 10 tanks - you need the ability to guarantee 10 tanks that can break down into several components.

Intelligence - to detect promptly. Darling and accurate weapons - to impress on distant approaches while they go, and/or spread logistics into junk so that they stop or cannot shoot. PTRK to meet. And actually tanks. Only in the presence of the rest can be not 10, but conditionally three. But with a more long -range gun, the best guidance system, the best armor, and more. NATO -based planning is a NATO approach that has begun to be implemented.

But in the presence of exclusively Soviet OVTs, only in smaller quantities, it was objectively somewhat decorative. Because to plan on such a basis is scary, because it is necessary to take responsibility. Not everyone is ready for it even now. Since the spring, the Ministry of Defense has solved two tasks in parallel: 1) seeks all the Soviet that can fight. So that the potential of the little boxer does not collapse; 2) increases the non -Soviet potential with the help of Western weapons.

To provide quality benefits. Because competing in quantity is a dead end. By the way, these advantages (for example - shoot less but more precisely) need to be implemented. So "Ramstein" under the responsive guidance of Americans became not only a platform for the formation of a coalition and attracting assistance, but also a tool for learning about "abilities" planning. What not everyone likes. Because you can't just say "I need 1000 tanks and 100 caesars, look for where you want.

" It is necessary to justify what task you need to solve. To calculate how many resources are and how to manage them. Americans propose to place all the intentions and needs for "Reality Box". Because resources are always lacking. And to plan the real picture. Changing the approach to defense planning entails a thousand other changes from logistics approaches to military education reform and revision of the staffing structure of units.

In general, Ramstein, among other things, makes one look at things. To understand where there are insurmountable dependencies, where there are niches for our MIC and so on. When all these approaches are tested and become part of the routine, our army will change significantly. 2. And now - what has changed. What did Ukraine receive as help? To protect the sky: - Hundred (hundreds): Stinger, Piorun, Mistral, Martlet, Starstreak, Stormer.

-SPR/Armed Forces: Gepard, Iris-T, on the approach-Nasams and Hawk. The issue of Crotale is indirectly resolved, and SAMP-T discusses. - RSZV (already tens): M142 HIMARS, M270, Mars II. At least one type of settings from this family is expected. Trusted artillery (hundreds of units): - 155 mm towed - M777, FH70; -155 mm SAU-PZH 2000, M109, crab, Caesar, Zuzana; - 105 mm - M101, L119. All this - with ammunition, which has already been received and fired more than it was on February 24.

Dozens of types (hundreds of units) of armored equipment - APC, BMP and BBM. All these M113, Vab, FV 103 Spartan, Bushmaster, Iveco, Mastif, Husky, Ford, Different MRAP. Dozen types (thousands of units) PTRK. To suppress the enemy air defense and HRS, the HARM anti -radar missiles were obtained and adapted to the enemy. After the epic combination with the participation of several countries, launchers and Harpoon missiles were obtained to fight at sea.

This is not to take into account the whole family of Antpq radars (including types that have not been passed to us before), drones of different types, means of communication, special software, engineering equipment and more. Compare with what was in March. And a year ago? Imagine it could not be at all. Because not everyone is glad. Plus, thousands of Ukrainian fighters and commanders have been trained in the event.

By spring there will be about 20,000 only within the limits of the British Interflex initiative. About 15,000 is going to teach the EU. The scale of collective training to the battalion level will gradually increase. Almost all heavy western weapons from the list were obtained in Ramstein. Realistically - from May. In addition, we gradually clarified the request for help: first these were platforms in pieces, then in the form of Organic Unit, then on the basis of Mission Oriented Approach.

There are only two qualitatively new positions: tanks and planes. Against the background of what has already been transferred, the very fact of transferring the same tanks is not something so politically dramatic for those who will pass. The nuance is that the transmission of any tanks should be supported by a system of inexpensive logistics and support. The conditional American battle tank of Abrams screwdriver in the field is not very repaired.

There are already cases where the SAU is shooting perfectly, but at the most inopportune moment the electronics says - no, no one goes anywhere, change the oil filter. 3. Now about Ramstein-6. Theme # 1 was the strengthening of Ukrainian air defense/About. If you drew attention, immediately after meeting the Pentagon clearly outlined the intention to help build an integrated air defense system from different systems.

And immediately made statements from Spain (about Hawk), the Netherlands and Britain - about the transfer of missiles. Then France's statement about Crotale came. And this is not the end. For complete clarity. Our air defense system is loss. It is impossible to compensate for Soviet systems - simply there is no need for access. Sooner or later, the critical mass of our SAC will be destroyed and the missiles will end at some point.

No one rejects the option of developing your own line of SPR, but it's years. The only realistic way out to the near future is to strengthen the air defense/about Western platforms. To understand why the decision was made so quickly. The fire of the Russians is an emotional background that helped a lot. But the main thing - in the other.

Following Ramstayne-5, information was revealed that the Reznikov Minister had informed his colleagues about the desire of Ukraine to build a defense system/about three echelons. The Ukrainian side presented its vision. There are not many varieties of air defense systems. Their TTX plus or minus is known. The landing system of land base systems, where the bottom is conditional Stinger, and the conditional Thaad is predictable. The variations are generally clear.

For example, maritime base systems are a matter of the future, while aviation is very relevant. That is, it is a designer that needs to be collected, starting from our needs with reality correction. If you dismiss the systems that are not exactly similar or risky for various reasons, the choice is not very rich. Since the question should be resolved with: 1) starting platform/installation; 2) rocket; 3) staff training; 4) financing. All this should be compatible for the automated control system.

The necessary iron should be sufficient, they must be provided with ammunition and paid. Therefore, there are not many options. The Ministry of Defense was rolled out for study in August. First in writing. Then at a joint meeting. This is indeed painstaking because countries do not want to share information about PPO/about. For example, NATO has Greece and Turkey with its atmosphere, there is Hungary and so on. To gather all this together in the form of a meaningful realistic offer is a challenge.

Therefore, in Brussels, among other things, partners were asked to send a mission to Ukraine like that that came in November 2021. To better evaluate the needs of our air forces in general and anti -aircraft missile troops in particular. Already taking into account the realities of the war. In short, the soil was prepared - and the process went. You do not have to have illusions. A considerable number of air defense systems will not appear tomorrow - these are months. But this is a tectonic shift. 4.

Another important point is the launch of financing tools and cooperation of countries for the implementation of specific projects in favor of Ukraine. Today it has already been launched: - the British leadership Foundation. - Foundation with Denmark leadership. - Fund on the basis of an intergovernmental agreement with France. - the EU profile mechanism is filled with money. Denmark, Germany and Norway have already agreed on the financing of 16 Slovak SAUs.

A similar project was discussed in Brussels at a meeting of Refund Minister Reznikov with Canada's Defense Minister Anita Anand. In general, starting with Ramstein-4, more attention is paid to the repair, maintenance and production of weapons for Ukraine. In addition to weapons, it was about systematic support for any non-lethal options (fuel, medicine, logistics). In particular, in the context of winter.