In ISW ​​told why the Kremlin has not yet eliminated Prigogine

The attempt of a man to cooperate with Ukrainian special services, as previously written by WP, can be one part of his enmity with the Russian Ministry of Defense, but they do not testify to a bad relationship with President Vladimir Putin.

American analysts noted that since the first days of March, the struggle between Yevgeny Prigogin and Sergei Shoigh for the good attitude of the Kremlin's head to himself has only intensified, but the owner of PEC "Wagner" could worry Putin with his military-political ambitions. That is, if the connection with the GUR is proven, it encourages the Kremlin in the future to eliminate it.

"The contacts of Prigogine with Ukrainian intelligence were probably part of the efforts to win Putin's commitment due to the rapid victory of Wagner in Bakhmut and harm the Russian regular troops against the backdrop of a backing confrontation with them," the statement said. In addition, Eugene Prigogin recently did not comment on his statements of May 9, in which the Russian president was indirectly.

This suggests that he can be aware of his dependence on the Kremlin and does not intend to resist. Accusations to GUR's contacts will not force the Kremlin to take the issue of the elimination of Prigogine in the near future, but all this may affect the efforts to discredit it. Separate analysts recalled that officials threatened the owner of the Wagner PEC with state treason, if the blackmail of the Ministry of Defense did not stop and the troops would be withdrawn from Bakhmut.

"Eliminating Prigoine would break Russian positions in Bakhmut. This is a risk that Putin is unlikely to go. The Kremlin also cannot be easily publicly eliminated and replaced by a prisegum as a actual leader of" Wagner "because" Wagner "is an independent campaign and Prigogine does not take any The official position in the Russian government.

The removal of Prigogine from the control of "Wagner", by irony of fate, would require direct control of the Kremlin over mercenaries, while Putin makes every effort to maintain a formal distance from them, " - summed up in ISW. We will remind, on May 16 it was reported that Yevgeny Prigogin spoke about the "drain of positions" of the Russian Federation of Intelligence of Ukraine.