Hike to Belgorod. Does Ukraine have the right to strike in Russian territory

Russian journalists and politicians are looking for reasons. Among the "most obvious" - Ukraine (and with it NATO countries) are preparing for attack on the Russian Federation. At least recently, a businessman, Wagner Owner Yevhen Prigogin and Chechnya President Ramzan Kadyrov, recently stated this in unison.

The first is confident: "There is no doubt that the Armed Forces will plan the offensive," the second complains: "The war has already been transferred to the territory of Russia, and it responds poorly to it. " Local media are rarely written about what is happening in the Russian province. Sometimes foreign journalists come there. As, for example, in July reporters of the French newspaper Le Monde.

They note the fatigue of people, their unwillingness to be nervous again and expressing trust in power. In recent weeks of materials from Belgorod, Kursk, Bryansk regions in the Russian information space increased. And many authors seriously ask: whether combat can move into the territory of the Russian Federation. Journalists of one of the central Russian editions recently returned from Belgorod. Their material can be read between the lines - the region is almost on the front line.

"From the first day of the introduction of Russian troops into the territory of Ukraine, the Belgorod region felt more acutely than other regions," reporters write. " Almost 400,000th Belgorod has finally turned into a real frontier city, imbued with the spirit of wartime. There is a hookah, where you can always meet PVC fighters, bars, which spend time intelligence and officers, and in the city market in tents sell military equipment in the tents.

" The heroes of this publication say that the Belgorod region lives in a state of constant mobilization, with queues on the border, tent towns for refugees and under the supervision of special services seeking saboteurs.

And they also complain that shellings have become more frequent in the region, sometimes civilian, individual settlements have fallen under the "evacuation" (some introduced an emergency regime), some waiting for the war to come to Belgorod itself, and are concerned that the authorities are not acting. Inhabitants consider the offensive of the Ukrainian army in Belgorod as a real opportunity. And they are afraid.

That is why the local governor instructed to distribute the residents of the high -rise buildings to the cellars so that they could hide. But the people were not presented with the keys - the cellars should be closed so that saboteurs can not penetrate and have a terrorist attack. And the Belgorod people are annoyed that salutes sound in Moscow, and the war has to feel only them, and ask: "Pass on ***** from us. " The word "war" is not called reporters, but only stars instead of letters.

In fact, if you read Russian publications, you can see some panic among the locals: someone says that the war will start - they will have to leave, someone makes food supplies, someone is discussing NATO's opportunities. In Belgorod, they think when "the Ukrainian army will take Belgorod, how to treat the local population", in Bryansk they think what the efficiency of iodine is in the case of nuclear impact, in Kursk, groups for tactical medicine appeared in Kursk.

The appearance in the Belgorod region of the already mentioned Yevgeny Prigogin adds to this. It was he who undertook to form detachments of "people's militia". The direct organization was entrusted to his representative - Andriy Bogatov, one of the commanders of the Wagner PEC.

Country from the old Osol of Belgorod region, at one time fought in the territory of the former Yugoslavia, in Syria, was wounded - he lost his hand, awarded the title of hero of Russia, began to control the protection of one of the Syrian gas processing plants. According to analysts of the American Institute for War Study (ISW), Prigogine and its people have become more public recently.

The businessman manages to benefit from Putin's dependence on the Wagner PEC created by the adverbial PEC and is not formally responsible for the missing of a regular army in Ukraine. In addition, the prison can be that others cannot be criticized by Russia's military leadership. The Washington Post reported a personal conversation with Putin, in which the creator of Wagner PEC declared bad command and inept action on the front.

Perhaps that is why Prigogine took over the official "defense leadership", and in fact the recruitment of mercenaries to the Russian army. We will remind, it was Prigogine who used to be in the correctional colonies of the Russian Federation, calling for criminality to join the ranks of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.

In addition to the preparation of "militia", the so -called "Wagner line" - strengthening structures (partly Q in the occupied Luhansk region) is erected on the territory of the Russian Federation. Photos of concrete blocks and trenches in the Belgorod region can already be seen on the network.

In addition, the governor of Kursk region of the Russian Federation stated that his region is preparing for defense, so there were already two lines of defense there, the third will be completed by early November. "On the one hand, Prigogine was probably not just a billionaire, but a multi -hover. different special operations around the world, creating a private military campaign under its auspices, then dividing it into several others. What happens in the Belgorod region now is difficult.

”The expert immediately explains: photos with illustrations of two rows of" defensive "pyramids are very funny. " All military understand that to stop the onset of the enemy, it is necessary to equip mine fields, prepare anti -tank barriers, moats, hedgehogs. All this should be covered with enclosing and concentrated artillery fire, - continues Salamakh. - Just barbed wire in several rows and anti -tank ditch - this is not enough for defense.

The anti-tank moat with shots of ten fragmentation shells falls asleep. And the built -in bulldozer equipment of the tank in 10 minutes can fall asleep. That is, 15-20 minutes of work-and the tank unit overcomes the anti-tank ditch.

True defense lines are created by specialized engineering for several weeks and months, and serious lines in Europe and the former USSR have been created for several years, that is, all this is designed to reassure the local population or, conversely, to raise the level of patriotism and warlike Protect your own land, and the enemy will not pass. Such actions are an information war, which includes hanging noodles on the ears of the Russians.

Allegedly defense of border areas But in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine since 2014-to maintain tension, as if someone will be attacking,-says Alexander Kovalenko, military-political observer. -In Transnistria at 2-3 months, local media state that they will attack Romania, or Romania and Moldova, or Romania, Ukraine, Moldova and NATO, when people are in such moral and psychological tension, they do not notice how their level falls Life, and their financial problems.

They are frightened by the Great War and Financially Degraded. ”Alexander Kovalenko notes that Ukraine does not use the opportunities it has, from the first days of a full -scale invasion The Russian side declares - manipulation and insinuation, which is a consequence of the use of Russia quite unsuitable for the use of rocket weapons, which it produces quickly, without proper technical control.

Sometimes such weapons change the direction of flight, it ceases to operate engines, then rockets fly to Belgorod, and the military of the Russian Federation are forced to knock them themselves. Of course, Russia does not recognize that this is happening, so it may seem to the local population and it may seem that Ukraine can attack Russia, " - continues the expert. According to him, Ukraine has not only the moral but also the legal right to respond to aggression by blows the territory of Russia.

But this right is not discussed through the data of international partners of promises. "Ukraine has demonstrated to international partners that we do not intend to destroy cities and towns in Russia, even military facilities that we are not bloodthirsty barbarians, but defenders of our own territory And we do not need to encroach on the territory of the Russian Federation. We do not need a campaign to Moscow. " Despite this, I am understanding the position of our power, ”Kovalenko says.

"What can the Ukrainian army and that not - the answer to this question can only be given by the General Staff.

Although from open sources we know that high -ranking US and other countries declare that Ukraine itself decides on how to use weapons and where and where to strike strokes But we understand that the Armed Forces use weapons that our allies provide us to counteract the aggressor, which is located in our territory, as well as struck strokes on the location of military units, warehouses with fuel and lubricants and locations of repair bodies outside Ukraine. .

Further - without comments, "says Salamakh. A few months ago, British Defense Minister Ben Wallace emphasized: if Ukraine decided to aim the logistics structure . military objects. However, foreign partners were reminded in one voice that their country was not handed over to Ukraine. The authorities of Ukraine recognize the strikes only in the Crimea and the territories that were part of Ukraine as of 1991. The explosions that occur in the territory of the Russian Federation are silent.

For example, after an explosion on the Kerch Bridge, experts of the American Institute for War Study noted that it was a "Ukrainian blow" on an object in the sovereign territory of Ukraine - it does not violate Ukraine's obligations to Western partners to use the weapon.

In addition, the analyst report stated that weapons could not be American: "There are no signs that Ukrainian forces used American weapons in the shocks in the Crimea, and it is unlikely that they were doing it because goals beyond the reach of the US systems provided ". The logic is that Ukraine is not leading an offensive but a defensive war, so strikes on civic infrastructure in the Russian Federation are excluded. But for military objects - possible.

On October 24, 2022, the governor of the Bryansk region of Russia reported that the explosive device had damaged the railway near the village of Novozibkovo, about 15 km from the Russian-Belarusian border. The Russian anti -war group "Wagon Stops" took responsibility for the incident. It is known that the railway is the main way between Russia and south of Belarus. In the territory of the latter there are also cases of blasting.

Kovalenko says it could be internal disassembly: "I do not exclude that the factories and oil bases of the Russian Federation are objects through which serious corruption schemes for the distribution of fuel and lubricants for troops, ammunition and ammunition were used. The second factor is technical degradation of these objects. Technically and technologically, these objects are degraded for a very long time. Technogenic catastrophes in the Russian Federation occur often, do not be surprised.

Of course, there may be other options - the actions of the third force. " Nicholas Salamakh says that there is little information about what is happening in Russia. "You can only evaluate what is in the available and open information space. Sometimes we see that some warehouse at the Perm powder factory has erupted. Even if several tens of tons of gunpowder burned down, it means that it will not fall into the sleeve or powder charges of the projectiles, cartridges, jet shells.

Who and how do the actions that lead to it will not comment, ”says military expert. Ukrainian Lieutenant General Igor Romanenko also avoids answers to the guerrilla questions. They work thinly so the Russians never have evidence against them. For example, a few days ago, a weapon production company operating in Syria near the aerodrome was blown up. In Crimea, 10 Iranian Shahd instructors were destroyed. The Colonel of the Corps of the Islamic Islands of Israeli say they are here.

But at the same time, the President of Israel goes to the United States with evidence that ShahED is being produced in Iran and used in Ukraine. ” Romanenko is convinced that when the time comes, it will be clear who and what is responsible for. But this is not the story of today. "The Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny has already acknowledged that our military worked in Crimea. Time will come - something else is recognized.