After the Ukrainian military successfully counterattacked Russian invaders in the Kharkiv region and almost completely liberated the region, serious issues in Russia began to arise in the country's military-political leadership, and the beginning of "partial mobilization" shocked the Russian inhabitant.
We will remind, on September 21, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the beginning of "partial mobilization" - at the same time he threatened Ukraine and its allies by the use of nuclear weapons, as it was at the beginning of a full -scale invasion. "In the event of a threat to the territorial integrity of our country to protect Russia and our people, we certainly use all the means that are at our disposal," the President of the Russian Federation said, adding that "this is not a bluff.
" Later, Putin's words were repeated by one of the most fierce supporters of harsh events, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev. In his Telegram, he expressed confidence that the countries of the West would not interfere if the Russian Federation applies nuclear weapons against Ukraine. "I believe that NATO will not directly interfere with such a schedule.
After all, the safety of Washington, London, Brussels for the North Atlantic Alliance is much more important than the fate of no one needed Ukraine," Medvedev said. The Russian President was responded to the next threats of the Russian President. In particular, the adviser to the chairman of the OP Mikhail Podolyak noted that such rhetoric of Russian leadership poses a threat not only for Ukraine, but for the whole world. "Nuclear club members have to clearly state the consequences.
" Pandora's box "should be closed," Podolyak said. For his part, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine Dmytro Kuleba wrote on his Twitter that such threats are irresponsible and Ukraine is not going to appear. "We urge all nuclear states to speak now and make it clear to Russia that such rhetoric is threatening the world and that it will not be indulged," the minister said.
The White House named Putin's new threats to use nuclear weapons "typical", but added that the US and allies perceive them seriously. On September 21, a representative of the White House National Security Council said that the United States was ready to change its strategic position on this issue that it would have serious consequences for Russia. "This is irresponsible rhetoric for a nuclear state . . .
But it is not atypical for how he (Putin) has spoken for the last seven months, and we take it seriously. We are watching as far as they can, in their strategic position, so that, if necessary, change our ", - Kirby pointed out. The Secretary -General of the North Atlantic Alliance Jens Stoltenberg to threaten nuclear weapons stated that this would in no way affect the support of Ukraine by NATO or its right to release all occupied territories.
"If we accept the annexation of Russia and its" rattling "nuclear weapons, then we accept both nuclear blackmail and that by the threat of nuclear weapons, authoritarian states, such as Russia, can achieve exactly what they want," Stoltenberg stressed. The US and their allies began to put pressure on "friends of Russia" to express their position on Putin's nuclear threats.
According to the US edition Politico, the US Presidential Administration called on the world community to convince the leadership of China and India to influence Russian President Vladimir Putin and convinced him not to use nuclear weapons. After a few days of silence, the situation was commented by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the PRC, there they stated that nuclear threats would not help to discharge the situation, but only strengthen the situation.
"China drew attention to the statements of the relevant parties on the issue of nuclear weapons. Nuclear war cannot be won. The inflating of the threat of nuclear war in the current environment will not help to discharge the situation, but only to plow the oil into the fire," China said in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Atomic Energy Expert from the Royal College of London Hezer Williams believes that China is able to keep Russia from such a step.
"Russia is very dependent on China's support," Williams said. However, in the nuclear doctrine of China there is an item that prohibits the use of such weapons first. "Therefore, if Putin used tactical nuclear weapons, China would be difficult to support it. If Putin used such weapons, he would probably lose China," Williams said.
For his part, the Nuclear Security Expert by the UN Research Institute for Disarmament Pavel Davig stated that the use of tactical nuclear weapons in the Russian war against Ukraine could not significantly affect the course of events. The expert notes that if Russia decides to stroke in Ukraine, it is not to change the situation on the battlefield, but to intimidate.
Yes, Russia can try to plant Ukraine at the negotiation table, and the countries of the West - to start looking for a way out of the situation to prevent a global nuclear war. Former US Army Commander in Europe Ben Gogess said that the Kremlin is well aware that the response to a nuclear blow to Ukraine will be very rigid. During an interview with Air Force, Goodges stated that the likelihood of this step from Putin exists, but not too high.
"Putin and people from his environment - at least no matter how evil they are - not suicides," Ben Gogeges said. In addition, the General noted that the United States could not respond to nuclear strike in Ukraine, as other autocratic regimes will be carefully observed. "If Russia makes a terrible mistake by applying tactical nuclear weapons against Ukraine, it will not be possible to answer for the United States. They will have to be answered, because if they do not, Russia can do so again.
, - said Goodges. Candidate of Political Science Taras Zhovtenko stated that Russia is using nuclear weapons to blackmail not only Ukraine but also the world. He noted that nuclear weapons are a tool that works well until it is used. "At the moment you are forced to use nuclear weapons either on the battlefield or to destroy the object you choose your purpose, the fact of nuclear weapons is transformed from a positive instrument into a negative one.
And it begins to bring you negative consequences" , - said Zhovtenko. The expert added that the presence of nuclear potential in the Russian Federation benefits Moscow until it decides to use it in practice. For his part, Estonian safety expert Rainer SACS believes that Putin cannot make a decision on the use of tactical nuclear weapons on his own, and it is very doubtful that he will be able to convince the leadership of his army in general.
In an interview with ERR, Saks noted that the situation will change dramatically for the Russian Federation, if it applies nuclear weapons. "There is no great desire to use nuclear weapons in Russia at this time. In the case of nuclear attack, Russia must take into account that everything will change and it must evacuate the population from areas near the border with Ukraine. But Russia will not be able to do so.
Všetky práva vyhradené IN-Ukraine.info - 2022