Putin is not ready for war with NATO and nuclear blow but still wants to capture the whole of Ukraine - isw

This is stated in the report of the Institute of War Study (ISW) of February 5. Thus, analysts are convinced that the decisions of President Vladimir Putin on Ukraine after the invasion of February 24, 2022 testify to the probable inconsistency "between his maximalist goals and his willingness to make the risky decisions necessary for their achievement.

" "Putin's unwillingness to go at risk directly related to war with ordinary weapons in Ukraine indicates that he will still be unlikely to go to nuclear escalation or war with NATO. Isw earlier appreciated that Russian threats of ordinary war NATO does not meet Russia's capabilities and that Russia uses nuclear threats mainly to intimidate the West, "the report reads.

ISW believes that during a full-scale invasion, Putin acted according to the false assumption that Russian forces would be able to force Kyiv to capitulate without any significant military casualties and regard Russia's invasion as limited and acceptable risk. Yes, the Russian President consistently ignored, postponed or only partially performed several, probably necessary pragmatic decisions to invade it.

Putin did not want to give an order for complete mobilization after the expensive seizure of Severodonetsk and Lisichansk in June-July 2022 and several unsuccessful offenses, which exhausted most of his usual armed forces. The Russian leader also ignored repeated calls for the Russian nationalist community in May 2022 to mobilize reservists, declare war on Ukraine, introduce martial law in Russia and modernize the military conscription system.

"Putin was probably afraid to cause dissatisfaction with Russian society and instead preferred the set and entry into relatively ineffective irregular armed units during the summer. Putin also tried to preserve the facade of a limited war to protect most of the Russian society from the extent He also did not make many public speeches related to hostilities from the beginning of the war to the middle of December, "-analysts say.

According to analysts, Vladimir Putin relves a group military failures and unpopular policies. Putin suggests, and sometimes contributes to the criticism of the Russian Ministry of Defense by Russian "military bloggers" to take the blame for himself. Countries - Order on partial mobilies Zari - forcing Shogu to explain the mobilization position in a television interview, " - said in ISW.

According to analysts, the President of the Russian Federation has repeatedly blocked the Russian command structure throughout the war and allowed the changed commanders, to take guilt on themselves, collapsing Russia's common military failures on individual commanders, and not for their unrealistic and maximalist purpose.

We will remind, on February 5, it was reported that the expression of Israel Naftali Benet stated that during a meeting with Vladimir Putin last March last year, the President of the Russian Federation promised him not to kill President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky. Earlier, on February 3, the Polish Foreign Ministry warned that Putin would restore the attack on Ukraine and try to take Kyiv again.