The expert report provides several factors that testify to the Kremlin's plans to restore the offensive. "The Russian military leadership is running a campaign, trying to change the public opinion about Russia's failures in Ukraine," the authors said. On December 18, Russian Secretary of Defense Sergey Shoig went to the Southern Military District to check the invaders of the invaders who were sent to Ukraine. There he listened to field commanders and communicated with personnel on the front line.
Analysts said that the minister paid special attention to the organization of comprehensive provision of troops, the conditions of deployment in the fields, as well as the work of medical and rear units. The day before, on December 17, Shoigu met with President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov and commander of a united group of troops in Ukraine Sergey Surovikin.
The military command discussed the immediate and medium -term proposals for war in Ukraine, the authors of the material said. Such steps of the Minister of Defense, according to analysts, indicate the attempts of the Ministry of Defense to strengthen the reputation of an effective military body of war in the militaristic community of the Russian Federation.
"The agreed efforts of Russian military officials to present themselves actively involved in the planning and control of hostilities, especially in the absence of significant achievements in Ukraine, can talk about the preparation of Russia for a new offensive in Ukraine in the coming months," the ISW report said.
Putin's meeting with Oleksandr Lukashenko is planned for December 19, experts have added part of efforts to demonstrate activity and create information conditions for a new stage of the war. The ability of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and Belarus to conduct effective large -scale offensive operations in the next few months still remains in question, analysts say. At the same time, Russia is fighting for the preservation of the forces that it fights in Ukraine.
Putin can order the restoration of large-scale offensive operations this winter, but it is important not to overestimate the possibilities of united Russian-Belarusian forces, the institute said. "It is unlikely that Lukashenko will give the team to the Belarusian military attack," experts summed up. It should be reminded that the GUR of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has recently evaluated the likelihood of new offensive actions in Ukraine.
Všetky práva vyhradené IN-Ukraine.info - 2022