Helping a better friend. What to expect from the meeting of Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin in Moscow

During his last visit to Moscow in 2019, Xi Jinping named Russian President Vladimir Putin with his best friend. Since then, the geopolitical situation in the world has undergone rapid changes, and the positions of both politicians have changed. Focus learned that this time the Chinese leader should say. "We have met almost 30 times in the last six years. The last Putin and Xi Jinping were seen personally in September 2022 at the Samhai Organization of Cooperation in Samarkand.

Then the Chinese leader did not shake his hands his "best friend" today begins a three -day visit of Chinese leader Xi Jinping to Russia. The event takes place at the invitation of the Russian side. It is noteworthy that for the first time, the US Department of US State Department in the beginning of last week reported about the probability of a visit to Moscow. Subsequently, this information was officially confirmed by the Russian side.

According to the Kremlin representatives, March 20, Xi Jinping will meet with his Russian colleague himself, after which an "informal lunch" will take place. The negotiations of the two politicians will take place on Tuesday. Putin's assistants have already stated that the issue of war in Ukraine would be a topic of negotiation. "We appreciate the restrained, proven position of Chinese leadership on this issue, we know about the Chinese settlement plan.

I am simply sure that both our leader and Chinese leader are exchanging their estimates of the current situation in the context of conflict development in Ukraine. What are the thoughts with '. They will appear after that - we will see, " - quoted the assistant of the Russian President Yuri Ushakov TASS. Interestingly, the Chinese side did not provide any comments.

Instead, US officials expressed their warnings that they will closely follow the visit and a probable decision of SI on Moscow's military assistance. "It is obvious that Russia has its own interests to try to draw other countries into this conflict, if it can, but our position is unchanged, regardless of whether they will meet or not," said national security advisor Jake Sullivan.

The meeting of Putin and Xi Jinping will be held against the backdrop of reports of Beijing's probable decision to provide Russia with military and technical assistance. The Russian army began to feel signs of a shortage of ammunition, which is critical in view of the counter -offensive of the Defense Forces of Ukraine, which is expected in the near future.

Recently, the Japanese edition of Nikkei, referring to its own sources, reported that in December 2022 the Chinese Military Analytical Center conducted a simulation of the development of hostilities in Ukraine in December 2022. According to analysts, the war in Ukraine can end in the summer of 2023 the advantage of Russia. Subsequently, the Western media began reporting to Moscow's likely technical assistance from Beijing.

And within a few months, Xi Jinping published his 12 peace plan from Ukraine. Not only Chinese analysts say about the end of the war in 2023, Ukrainian officials have repeatedly stated that the year should be the year of Ukraine's victory. It should be understood that Russian and Ukrainian economies, and European economies, will be exhausted and will not be able to maintain a long high intensity war for a long time.

Recall that China did not join sanctions against Russia, introduced for military invasion of Ukraine. Moreover, in the last year, Chinese state defense companies have maintained trade relations with the Russian defense complex.

According to CNN, customs documents, show that during 2022, at least by mid-November, the Beijing defense contractor Poly Technologies performed deliveries, including details for helicopters and radio equipment "Air Earth", supported by the Russian firm, which the US was imprisoned with sanctions. . At the same time, China's authorities categorically refutes this, appealing to the fact that the United States continues to systematically transfer weapons to Ukraine.

And the Chinese diplomat Van and immediately arrived in Moscow, where "relations of the Russian Federation and China are not directed against third countries, but are not amenable to the pressure of third countries. " The coordinator of international policy in the Center for Political Research "Donis" Denis Moskalik is convinced that the visit of SI to Putin aims to discuss further development of "partnership without borders" between the Russian Federation and China in war.

In addition, Beijing and Moscow are intended to demonstrate the world of rapprochement and readiness to work together. "The trade of Russia and China is now experiencing an unprecedented boom by reaching a volume of $ 190 billion last year. He sells more than he buys in China, which has become possible precisely through the redirection of energy flows to the PRC. It has become an archived component of successful adaptation of the Russian Federation to Western sanctions.

Now China and Russia are more closely cooperated in the economic sphere, " - says Moskalik. Political scientist Oleg Saakyan believes that China is in the projection of foreign policy. Xi Jinping has already solved all its internal tasks, so now it is actively acting on the world geopolitical arena. It is this visit that the Chinese politician wants to certify the fact that the Russian Federation becomes a Chinese asset, and now, in mind, topics for negotiations and relationships will be built.

"It is very symptomatic that the issues of the SI visit are most covered by the Russian media and not Chinese. This indicates who this visit is more needed. The issues will be discussed than Beijing can trade in relation to Moscow's interests. Both countries in Africa, "says Saakyan focus. According to the director of the Institute of World Policy Yevgeny Magda, it is not necessary to expect from the visit of Xi Jinping to Moscow something trivial.

The Chinese leader has been building an alliance with the Russian Federation for the first time, but it looks like a "stroke", not a full union. "There is no need to wait for this visit to something trivial, as well as to dramatize the likelihood of supplies to China's ammunition. With the EU and the US, it has hundreds of billions of dollars, Beijing has already explicitly stated that it would be reduced if there would be agreed to deliveries of ammunition, "Magda says.

He critically assesses the likelihood that the potential future contact of Si Jinping and President Vladimir Zelensky will change the relations of the two countries. Since the election of Zelensky, there was no contact between two politicians, and there is no ambassador of Ukraine in China for more than 25 months.

"It should be understood that China as a nuclear state, a permanent member of the UN Security Council will not look for joint action with the United States, including the support of Ukraine. SI has already spoken of his desire to build a twofold world - which is China and the USA, Russia is not there," Magda notes. Instead, Saakyan is convinced that during the visit, Xi Jinping to Moscow will definitely no agreements on the supply of weapons and cooperation in the military-industrial complex.