By Victor Duda
The Kremlin chairman informed the representatives of the paramilitary group after the unsuccessful rebellion, that they have three options: to continue to fight in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, to resign or to follow his leader Yevgeny Prigogin in Belarus. However, according to military analysts, the Kremlin will consider those who go to Belarus, traitors. Regardless of whether immediate action is taken.
"Perhaps Putin positions Belarus, a shelter for Wagner fighters as a trap," said recent rates. "Putin's recognition that he gave a personal promise that Wagner staff who went to Belarus will be there in Belarus security. " According to military researchers, these words of Putin seem doubtful in the long run. The ISW reminded that the Belarusian politician Alexander Lukashenko had already transferred 33 detained mercenaries to the Wagner PEC and used them as a lever against the Kremlin in 2020.
And nothing will hurt him to do it again. Recall that the ISW assume that Wagner PVC will cease to exist. Analysts of the Institute of War Study are inclined to two scenarios: mercenaries from paramilitary formation can fully integrate into the structure of the Russian Defense Ministry or divide into two separate groups. It was also reported that, according to Professor Harvard, the de -occupation of Ukraine can last up to 16 years.
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