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Pavel Bayev Political Science, Professor of the Institute of Peace Research (Osl...

The course of the war shifted from the dead point. What Putin will focus on now

Pavel Bayev Political Science, Professor of the Institute of Peace Research (Oslo) Pavel Bayev: Russian President Vladimir Putin may only have a superficial idea of ​​a real situation (photo: Reuters) the Battle of Donbas (which became the Central Theater It was lost due to the excessive stretching of the Russian forces) went into a dead end of the Russian offensive, and Ukrainian began to gain momentum, and the course of war in Ukraine was moved from a dead point.

Looking back, we can say that the fierce battle for Severodonetsk and Lisichansk, which was conducted in late June - in early July, may have been the highest achievement of a Russian invasion aimed at destroying Ukraine as an independent state.

Moscow was forced to concentrate its most capable parts and the bulk of heavy weapons to capture the last territories of the Luhansk region, which remained unocal, and the reorientation of these exhausted opportunities to a new attack in Donetsk region was too ambitious, so unrealistic. Regular unprecedented artillery shelling of Bakhmut and Kramatorsk, and even the use of Wagnerians cannot adequately compensate for the lack of land troops.