Putin is threatening from impotence. How will aggression end for the President of

He has always felt comfortably during the Shanhai Cooperation Organization (SCO), 8 states - India, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, China, Pakistan, Russia, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, and experts call the EU EU or even NATO. And on September 17, Putin went to Samarkand with certain hopes. There he planned to talk to the leaders of China and India.

But, as it became obviously, the Russian leader did not expect such an unfriendly reception-China expressed anxiety about the war in Ukraine, and India Prime Minister Nari Modi generally criticized Moscow. The latter publicly said that there is no era of war now. And this despite the fact that both states have never publicly condemned Russian aggression in Ukraine in six months. "Putin had no typical aura preference at the summit," the British edition of Daily Telegraph wrote.

At first, Putin was forced to wait for President Kyrgyzstan and then Turkey. In addition, China's leader Xi Jinping did not appear at an evening meeting without ties, and the Indian Prime Minister Nari Modi said that he would have to say "democracy, diplomacy and peace. " In response, Putin promised: "We will do everything for it (hostilities in Ukraine. - Ed. ) Stop as soon as possible. " "It looks like Putin returned from the Shos summit very annoyed.

He felt he was perceived as Luzer, as a person who loses in this war. He felt it even from those who were always treated with contempt, as puppets, who are not on what they do not influence. And here he saw that no one perceives him as a equal leader, "says Focus political scientist Vladimir Fesenko.

The expert suggests that people surrounded by Putin who support the idea of ​​war - Sergey Shoigh, Mykola Patrushev and Dmitry Medvedev - began to convince the President of the Russian Federation that the situation is very difficult, they are running away from the front, they do not want to fight, the strength is not enough, the front can be rescued and the front can situation.

"Therefore, in such a forcing regime, laws on criminal punishment for desertion and a number of other violations were passed, such as failure to comply with orders," Fesenko continues. "Judging by the fact that such laws were adopted - this is a mass phenomenon and a serious problem. Therefore, they decided to punish for desertion and mobilize new ones. In addition, to announce pseudo -referendums. It was necessary to somehow justify for a shameful escape in the Kharkiv region.

" But how to justify it - the question was open. Therefore, Putin's speech did not take place on September 20 in the evening, but only 21 in the morning. He then announced partial mobilization in Russia and support the idea of ​​pseudo -referendums in the occupied territories. Fesenko suggests that Putin did not make a statement in the evening because the position was not agreed: whether to declare war, or partial or complete mobilization.

"Russia is not ready for full mobilization now," the political scientist is confident. "Even partial mobilization will take at least a few months. The Soviet military system was built on the possibility of mass mobilization. Now they need to formulate the organizational scheme itself, as it will happen, who will happen, who will happen, who will happen, who will happen. mobilized, because all the combatant officers and everyone who has combat experience is fighting.

They were pulling in the morning, they had to decide how to threaten the event what exact In the appeal, that it looks quite threatening: "Putin scared the whole world again" and was more or less realistic, did not frighten their own population. " Obviously, Putin tries to preserve what he believes, he managed to win. That is, control over parts of Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhya regions, as well as over the occupied Crimea.

In the example of the Kharkiv region, he saw how quickly you could get rid of the already conquered territories. But what are Putin's ultimatums worth? Yes, he wanted to attack Ukraine - and attacked, he thought about mobilization - and declared it. But now Putin is threatening the use of nuclear weapons.

Like, after the pseudo -referendums of the territory of four regions will be considered Russian, which gives the President of the Russian Federation the right to use nuclear weapons to protect them. But this argument looks unconvincing for several reasons.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudea said that "Putin's behavior is indicating the collapse of the invasion of Ukraine", the head of the British government Liz TRASS warned: "Blackmail will not work," US President Joe Biden agrees: "They will become exile. " If we follow the statements of the world leaders, it becomes noticeable: they do not believe Putin - he threatens from impotence.

The retired general, former US troops in Europe Ben Gogessh, though he says that the Russian President's decision is reminiscent of Adolf Hitler's behavior when he tried to attract more soldiers in the last days of the Third Reich, but still suggests that Putin could use nuclear weapons . "Putin is cold as ice, but not crazy: he knows well that the United States should completely get involved in this war.

Pentagon has already provided President Joe Biden as a list of options for such a case," Ben Gogeges explains. The threat of nuclear weapons is not a threat to start tanks to a neighboring country, so the United States cannot treat it lightly and take action. For example, they work with China and India to affect Putin. And the results of such work have already seen in Samarkand. After the announcement of partial mobilization, Putin also had expected problems in the country.

Citizens who, although supporting their leader in the election, do not want to fight for his ideas. As a result, thousands of people were protesting against the army on the street, and about two thousand protesters were detained. Men who were detained on the streets are most likely mobilized. At the same time, huge queues for departure from Russia were formed on the borders. The situation in the Russian Federation is actively analyzed by both foreign and Ukrainian experts.

For example, the British analyst Timothy Ash warns that everything will end for Putin. "A shot of a Russian patriot from his environment," says Ash. "The Kremlin has opposition, people such as Patrushev, former rival Sergiy Ivanov, are other security forces who could oppose him because the situation for Russia is getting worse, and Russian military casualties are growing. I think there are many people who do not want to get involved in nuclear war with NATO.

I think the US is talking to these people. Obviously, the war Putin has been pierced, now the question is whether he will lose allies Remaining - such as China - and Russia itself. " Ash suggests that Putin is ready for negotiations (perhaps the Chinese were advised) to keep what he has, and even ready to "sell at home" the thesis that "the Russians stubbornly struggled, fought with NATO and stopped the Alliance near the borders Russia.

" "This is the last chance for Russia to survive," says the analyst. We will remind, on the eve of the announcement of partial mobilization in the Russian Federation Turkish President Recep Tayip Erdogan, who also met with Putin within the SCO, said that the President of the Russian Federation wanted to end the war in Ukraine as soon as possible, but understands that he would have to leave all the occupied territories.

The Russian political scientist and publicist from Washington Andrei Piontkovsky suggests that in the Kremlin hysterics there realized the inevitability of surrender and think how to resolve the situation. Piontkovsky suggests that Putin can be considered temporarily from power under the guise of illness, and he transfers his functions to the Security Council. All this happens to somehow justify the loss in Ukraine, withdrawing responsibility from Putin.

"I think this project also supports the army general," the expert says. And in Russia nothing just happens. And it is no accident in early September a group of deputies from St. Petersburg appealed to the State Duma of the Russian Federation with a proposal to remove Putin from the post of president, accusing him of treason. As for Russia, it is a bold statement.

The processes in the Russian Federation today, according to Piontkovsky, is influenced by Yuri Kovalchuk, a person close to Putin, known for his anti -liberal and anti -Western views, a businessman who controls all media acts. "Putin thinks how to retain power and huge property, losing war," Piontkovsky suggests.