The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not be able to surround Bakhmut in the near future and take the city with frontal storms - isw

"The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation provided a sufficient positional advantage to carry out a rotary movement against certain parts of Bakhmut, but have not yet forced the Ukrainian forces to retreat and probably will not be able to surround the city in the near future," the statement said. According to military analysts of the institute, the defense forces create conditions for controlled departure from particularly complex sections of Eastern Bakhmut.

Russian sources claim that Wagner PVC fighters have victorious in North-East and East Bakhmuta over the last few days, creating a tactically difficult turn in the urban regions of North Bakhmut. The Ukrainian side reports that the Armed Forces still control the situation in Bakhmut, noting that the circumstances are becoming more complex, and that the Wagner group attracted its most prepared elements in the assault operations in the area.

"Russian progress in Bakhmut was slow and gradual and does not mean that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be able to surround Bakhmut soon, and even more so that they will be able to take the city with frontal storms. The Russians were more likely to move close to critically important terrestrial communication lines with northeast to pose a threat to the Ukrainian ways of leaving in classical rotary motion.

His goal is to force the enemy to leave prepared defensive positions, and it differs from the purpose of the environment, which is to capture and destroy the enemy's forces, "the analytical report reads. According to analysts, the command of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation intended to surround the city, but the General Staff of the Armed Forces clearly made it clear that most likely the forces of defense would leave the city than they would fall into the environment.

ISW estimates that Ukrainian forces have a lot more chances to get into the environment and that the Armed Forces will still be able to hold their position in Bakhmut if they decide to try. The founder of the Wagner PEC Yevgeny Prigogin on March 4 stated that in the event of the retreat of "Wagnerivtsi" from Bakhmut the front will fall to the Russian borders - the Armed Forces will break into the territory of the so -called "LNR", "Lugansk, Sorokino will come into the territory .