The battle for Kherson begins. Three scenarios what the Armed Forces and Russia will do

The locals rigidly sabotage any actions of the Russians, drains the positions of staffs, undermines key collaborators and military. Group management has long moved to the left bank, because it is impossible to manage the occupation troops in the city itself. Ammunition, products, fuel are a critical situation. Winter for Russians in the occupied areas on the right bank will be unbearable. Communications between the shores are collapsed.

In fact, the Russians are not able to quickly throw a large number of troops. Only gradually. And if the Kherson-Kryvyi Rih Front will break through the Armed Forces again, the great forces of the Russians in the Nikolaev direction will be surrounded by the retreat. So, Russia has only three options. The first is to go on the offensive and reject Ukrainian troops to Kryvyi Rih and Nikolaev. This option is still quite unreal for Russian Nazis.

To have such an ambition, you need to control the sky totally, and this is not close. The second is to send even more troops to defense with the risk of losing these troops in the event of unsuccessful fighting and breakthrough in the Armed Forces to the bridges. And, in my opinion, the Russians have not yet left hope. Although they are already morally preparing future mobilized Russians for the "goodwill gesture," explaining why the Russian army is being defeated again.

What is happening now is more like the attempt of Russian Nazis to keep occupied Kherson at any cost. To reach the time they, according to the Russians, will receive at least some advantage in size. Even if it now means the risk of losing a large number of equipment (the scale, in case, is several times larger than those they have thrown in the Kharkiv region), if the Armed Forces break through the front.

I do not speak about the Russian soldiers who will be surrounded on the right bank, their fate is so clear. In addition. If the Russians receive an order for retreat from the occupied areas of Kherson (by the way, to do it the easiest under the cover of "evacuation of the population"), the city of the Armed Forces will have to come with the battle, because the retreat will be covered in the trenches around the regional center. In general, I do not believe in the voluntary retreat of the Nazis now.

The Russians built powerful defensive boundaries around Kherson. Leaving them without a fight is, of course, a strategic victory for the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces. Taking a city without a fight is that Zaluzhny and Kovalchuk is being sold for a long time. For the final victory it is necessary to maximize the crossing and go close to the bridges, so that the situation for the Russians become obvious and the chances of Kherson's maintenance are not left, only retreat.