The Armed Forces press the enemy under Balaklia? What is known about the unexpectedly powerful offensive of Ukrainian forces in Kharkiv region

Data on the offensive operation of the Ukrainian forces, which are now meticulously analyzed by Western analysts, on September 6 began to flow from the reports of Russian military bloggers and accountants' accounts on social networks.

Video of the Day, for example, the propaganda pro -Kremliv resource Readovka, which actively supports the army of the Russian Federation and Russia -solved against Ukraine, acknowledged that the Armed Forces "intensified in Kharkiv region, and specifically - they went on an attack on balaklia and the grouping of Russian troops, which is based there.

"There are reports of the enemy [forces of the Armed Forces] of positions in Verbivka and attempts on the event on its outskirts, as well as the undermining of the bridges [those who have been under the control of the Russian army until recently]," Readovka writes. This Russian resource also stated that on this site allegedly concentrated "mobilized from the DNR", as well as that "they were displaced, they departed with the battle.

" Where Balakley is a map: And the pro-Kremliv military blogger, who writes under the pseudonym Vladlen Tatarsky, said with surprised surprise: despite the fact that Russian telegram channels were alleged It was possible to accumulate strength for the offensive. " He also expressed bizarre hopes that "this is some tricky plan" of Russian warlords.

Analyzing such reports, analysts of the American Institute for the Study of the War came to the conclusion that Ukrainian defenders in the Balakliya area probably "rejected the Russian forces to the left bank (north side) of the Seversky Donets and Middle Balakliyka. " ISW experts suggest that on September 6, Ukrainian troops still captured Verbivka (less than 3 km northwest of Balakliya) - as evidenced by the personnel of the fallen invaders, captured by the Ukrainian military.

The geolocation of this video, shot in Verbivka, was verified. "Several Russian sources have recognized Ukrainian successes in Verbivka and reported that Russian troops had destroyed the unnamed bridges on the eastern outskirts of Balakliya to prevent further promotion of Ukrainian troops," the ISW experts write. The photo published on September 6, also shows the destroyed bridge across the Middle Balakliyka River - the line of the Russian front is probably behind it.

ISW analysts also drew attention to social networks that on September 6, Russian troops departed from checkpoints six kilometers west Balakliya. In addition, on the evening of September 6, a wave of identical messages ("no panic . . . ") was widespread on Russian publications on social networks, which can be wrote on military topics ("no panic . . . "), which can be another indirect evidence of the Armed Forces in Balakliya.

And in the morning of September 7, another Russian telegram-channel confirmed "surroundings of consolidated detachments of Samara and Bashkir CBR within the city of Balaklius", as well as the fact that the Armed Forces are trying to "develop an offensive in two directions-on Kupyansk and raisins.

" Finally, the most relevant confirmation of the new efforts of the Armed Forces in the Balakliya area is a video, which on September 6 released the group of the United States of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. It, according to the Ukrainian military, recorded "the impressions of the composition of the invaders in Balakliya, the setting of the C300, as well as the enemy SAU.

" In addition, on September 7, a video of the Strategic Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine released a video of beating a Russian Su-25 aircraft in Balakliya (near the village of Volokhiv Yar). The military analyst and professor of strategic research of the University of Saint-Endrus (Scotland) Phillips O'Brayen, who follows the theater of hostilities in Ukraine, on September 6, devoted a separate branch in Twitter to a likely offensive of the Armed Forces in the Kharkiv region.

In his opinion, if the Ukrainian forces really managed to achieve the effect of the operational suddenness of the offensive in the Kharkiv direction, then it demonstrates "in which Russian troops are in a disorderly state. " O'Brayen recognizes that he believed such a suddenness "almost impossible" - given the number of monitoring devices available to the enemy (from satellites to UAVs and cybernetic troops, etc. ), as well as given the proximity of the region to the border with Russia.

“If the Russians missed it, their troops are in the worst state than expected. It is also a very good sign that the safety of [operations] of Ukraine is in the best state of possible, ”the expert writes.

Responding to the remarks of other observers that the offensive under Balaklia is unlikely to be such a surprise for the Russian army-given that Russian telegram channels discussed its possibility for weeks-O'Brien adds to their analysis: “There were some reports that the Russians had an idea of ​​the idea of The fact that Ukrainians are going to attack in the Kharkiv region and simply could not answer [on the attack].

If this is true, it is a mess of another kind that testifies to the inflexibility of the Russian army. " Instead, ISW experts say that the fact that Russia has transferred forces from Kharkiv region and from the east of Ukraine to the south, probably allows the Armed Forces to counter the Armed Forces in the region - it is precisely the implementation of such a situational possibility of ISW analytics in the Armed Forces in the Balakliya area.

Analyzing the obituaries and data on the dead Russian servicemen, experts point out that Russia has transferred to the Kherson region of the 147th Artillery Regiment of the 2nd Motorized Rifle Division of the 1st Guards Tank Army no earlier than the end of August. ISW analysts state that for the first time they found signs of the presence of units of the elite 1st Guards Tank Army of the Russian Federation in the south of Ukraine.

Parts of the 147th Division earlier participated in March battles in Bucha near Kiev, and parts of the 1st Guards Tank Army acted mostly in the Kharkiv direction after the departure of Russians from the Kiev region.

In the morning construction of the General Staff of the Armed Forces on September 7, there are no mention of the offensive actions of the Ukrainian forces in the Balakliya area - only the shelling, which is conducted by the army of the Russian Federation on settlements in the Kharkiv direction.

Earlier, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has repeatedly urged to adhere to the regime of information silence about the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces and explained that they would report on the liberation of certain cities and towns only after which Ukrainian defenders will be fixed in them and will be able to minimize the risk of enemy strikes in these settlements.

However, in his evening address, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky called on September 6, "all our people who create an information picture" to pay attention not only to the counter -offensive of Ukraine in the south, but also to other areas of the front - calling Kharkiv region among them. “Please pay your attention and society to the fact that rigid confrontation lasts almost all over the front line. It is a thousand three hundred kilometers of active fighting.

And it is just unfair when there are a lot about individual areas of the front and others seem to forget about others. Although our warriors in many directions are absolute fellows, absolute heroes, - Zelensky emphasized. - both in the Donbass, in Kharkiv, and in the Zaporozhye region, in the south, and in the border areas of the North and the east of the country. The protection of the whole state needs equally sincere and serious attention.

" In the City Council, Balaklia urged local residents not to distribute data on the movement of the Ukrainian army in Kharkiv region. “There is information about the release of some settlements of the Balakli community. We are waiting for official confirmation. We understand everyone's emotions now, but we try to adhere to the information silence regime. Do not disseminate information about military operations to official statements of the Armed Forces of Ukraine or the Ministry of Defense.

We are also asked not to disseminate information about the movement of Ukrainian troops, ”the Ukrainian authorities said. The most transparent to the new successes of the Armed Forces was hinted at the Presidential Office Alexei Arestovich. On September 6, Figin Live noted that "there is news, but the president's prerogative is to declare them. " Without calling Balaklium straight, he added: “I will just think about a particular city. The city, the name we do not voice.

And there happened to the Putin soldiers. Strong trouble . . . The trouble happened to them that they fled to the east. However, the courageous Russian command tries to restore the situation, throws reserves, but they are waiting for a lot of surprises. Some of them are captured, and some of them will never drink tea, ”Arestovich said.

The Balakliya area, and especially - is located near the city of Izium, are important logistics units of the Russian army for the supply of Russian forces coming in the Donbass.

In early August, when the Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to release several settlements under Izium (including Dmitrovka and Dibrivna), analysts of the Institute of War Study emphasized the exceptional importance of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces to carry out significant counter -offensive operations at the same time in several directions.

They noted that if Ukraine is able to put serious pressure on the positions of the invaders in the area of ​​Izium, continuing the transition to counter -offensive near Kherson, then Russian troops would face a very difficult choice. “They will probably have to either abandon their position in the West of Izium in favor of protecting their lines of land communications north and east, or allocate more personnel and equipment to try to keep the current front line.