"Moscow creates the conditions for the new most dangerous way of action (NSSD) - a restoration of invasion to the north of Ukraine, possibly aimed at Kyiv - at least from October 2022. This NSD can be a Russian information operation or reflect Putin's true intentions. Some proven evidence of Russian troops in Belarus makes more sense as part of preparation for a new offensive than as part of exercises and training, evidence that Moscow is actively preparing shock forces in Belarus.
" According to experts, the repeated large -scale Russian invasion of Belarusian territory is unlikely this winter, but it should be taken seriously. The ISW noted that on December 24, the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation demonstrably declared the presence of a field hospital in Belarus. "Field hospitals are not binding on training and may testify to the preparation for hostilities.
The emergence of field hospitals in Belarus in early 2022 was one of the last indicators that were observed before Russia began a full -scale invasion," the analysts said. In addition, under the guise of exercises in the territory of Belarus, the Russian army equipped tanks T-90 with winter camouflage, which is not absolutely necessary for exercises and can testify to preparation for real fighting in winter.
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