Oil of $ 30 per barrel: Collapse of unfair aggression of Russia and development of the world economy

It is time to press the throat of a tyrant because of the minimum price for oil and maximum restrictions in its implementation, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, in his speech during the constituent summit of the Grain From Ukraine initiative, declared the need to limit the price of Russian oil at $ 30-40 per barrel.

Such a price restriction is absolutely real and most importantly necessary for the whole civilized world, because low quotations of oil have always been a driver of economic growth. The growth economy, for example, during the 1973 oil crisis, when quotes increased from $ 15 to $ 70 a barrel, the dynamics of world exports decreased sharply and became negative, the stagnation of the global economy on the one hand and on the other - was funded by terror and enslavement.

Later, from the 1980s to the early 2000s, when the price of oil fluctuated in the hallway $ 20 . . . $ 34 per barrel, the dynamics of world exports was positive and increased by 6%every year. It is important to recall that the low price of oil on the background of the regulated economy and the unprocessed aggression of the Soviet Union in Afghanistan played a lasting role in the collapse of the evil empire. Returning to our time.

In the last week, Russian oil Urals was sold through export terminals with a price of $ 52 a barrel. This means that any conversations or negotiations at the G7 establishment on price limitations of $ 65 or $ 70 can only provoke an increase in the price of Russian oil. Therefore, you need to follow a single position and deprive the aggressor of the opportunity to maneuver, in particular through the information space.

For example, the news that Russia is developing a new methodology for controlling oil sales operations (includes a ban on the implementation of price restrictions) is an element of information and psychological operation and pressure on the global market that is in a light peak.

It is said that oil quotes have fallen to the lowest level since December last year, as riots in China have reduced investors' activity and pushed traders to negative expectations in terms of demand because of expectations of more resilient restrictions on the movement of citizens. The indicator of oil market reduction in the PRC is in particular road traffic data: at rush hours in large Chinese cities, it decreased by an average of 45%, compared to the same date last year.

Therefore, it may be about reducing daily demand for oil at the level of 1 million barrels, which is 50% of the current Russian supplies to the EU market. Thus, no so -called aggressor rotation from west to east in part of hydrocarbon supply will keep pre -war sales, which means it is time to press the throat of tyrant at a minimum price and maximum restrictions on sales.

The scenario of good realistic scenario of development of the situation on the benefits of Ukraine and the whole civilized world is next. First of all, it is the introduction of prices for Russian oil, at least at $ 35 per barrel. The second is the OPEC+ statement about increasing oil production, at least at 1 million barrels.

The third is the non -view ban on the passage of Russian tankers through the Bosphorus and Dardanelles, in particular, preventing the process of cargo insurance through Turkish companies. In general, it is important to keep futures in the contained state in the global oil market in the next year (when a 5% more demand supply is supply). The situation is likely to develop. At least two factors indicate this: 1. Increasing the likelihood of restoring oil exports from Venezuela. 2.

A significant increase in oil and oil storage capacity in the United States, which is scheduled to be carried out in 2023. Incidentally, the lack of sufficient oil storage capacities in the aggressor is its weak place, and will encourage the canning of oil wells, as their oil refining industry also has its marginal potential and a portfolio of orders. It is impossible to bypass the sanctions any sanctions should have a protective mechanism that will make them impossible.

Unfortunately, to this day, this fuse has not been installed. At least this is indicated by statistics in the first half of November: Russia has increased its oil supply by sea by 4%compared to the first half of October. Conclusion - many people hear Ukraine and possibly their own conscience and continue to finance unprovured aggression and purposeful murder in any way of civilians.