If it has already been written in the media, then probably Putin, like a narcissus and paranoid, can take some steps. Cleaning, how to arrange Stalin in 1937, or some other stories? How can you try to predict, and what will they do with what rats start running from their ship? Video of the day - let's so. Despite the fact that [from there] sometimes information begins to receive, we are still in a state of such total uncertainty.
Because neither diplomatically nor the Kremlin's communication line can be clearly traced. We do not know how the decisions are made, who influences a decision, and we can judge such excerpts of this information. We see that really the Kremlin is now there is a process of destruction of hopes and hopes. Undoubtedly, the Kremlin authorities hoped to capture either the whole of Ukraine very quickly, or some such a significant piece of territory.
We see that they failed, they have tried several times to do so. And we see that now they really have become such agreement. They really begin to come in contact. But what will be arranged? How will the Kremlin react? No one can say yet, because again we are in a state of total uncertainty, not knowing who and how it makes the decision.
-And if you evaluate even from the psychotype of Putin himself, he has more with such a psychotype to hide somewhere in the bunker, only a limited circle of people plus a super guard? Do you arrange cleaning? Do you look for someone who could be near him a traitor? - There can be several processes. Recently, we saw Vladimir Putin climbed out of the bunker and went to meet with different leaders, with Iran, Erdogan, he went to Caspia to meet some representatives of the CDU.
That is, we watched Putin with such a mobilization when he came out of the bunker when he removed his long table. And he has such a very active phase of action. Before that, it was activated on the military front, the activation of Putin, when he began to make decisions and take part in military affairs, in planning surgery and so on. That is, Putin now has mobilization and activation. He became more active in this process.
I think he is more likely to have fear on the one hand, but on the other hand. He has got a problem that can be solved, on which you can concentrate, not just sit in the hopper, hide and be afraid. This dictator should not be underestimated. He can enjoy this game, he can look for difficulties, he can look for confrontation with the West.
- And for him, for his self -esteem, he now feels that he can control his big army? My all generals are idiots, they have not coped, now I'll come, and I will show you all. Do he have intention? - Maybe such intention. We would like to say that Putin is very easy to spread on the shelves, he is such and so, he is paranoid, he is not a narcissus, this is another type of type, and so we know how he will behave. Unfortunately, we don't know. We can imagine this corridor of opportunities, options.
And in this corridor, we see that really a person is still driven into a corner, she begins resistance. Putin himself is likely to perceive himself as a person who has been driven into a corner. He shifts responsibility for defeat and for the fact that he has drawn himself and the country into the war, he translates this responsibility to others. We have already seen this behavioral course repeatedly. He often comes to him. And when he begins to blame others, he expands his own actions.
It can apply the army. It may come to mobilization, to use weapons of mass destruction. We can anticipate it all, but to say clearly whether or not - unfortunately, a serious expert can not.
- But repression, mass repression, cleaning among your apparatus, can it happen? Here is his psychotype for himself such a reality? - In this case, the question is not in the psychotype, but the issue in the type of society and the party, let's just say, this bureaucratic and power apparatus, which it controls. Mass repression is possible when a mobilized society, when you can really perform such a mass genocide of some link of society.
In this case, we see that Russian society was not signed for mass genocide. But for cleaning among executives, among bureaucrats, security forces - yes. I think that society will agree. And such repression has already taken place. We saw a special operation in Britain when the violinists were grabbed.
That is, we see that these intelligence services are capable of such point operations, when some specific person is destroyed, and this is done to demonstrate to your own: see what will happen to you if you run from the ship. And so, I think that these leaks of information regarding the negotiations of possible are not someone's private initiative.
Most likely, the emissions are purposeful, just about this opportunity to give information, to demonstrate their intention and to demonstrate readiness to sit at the negotiating table. But returning to your question concerning these repression, there will be no mass repression, but there will be such point operations. Removal of a large number of people from functions, giving functions to other people.
And I think Putin is interested in getting off as many people as possible and creating this reputational blackmail for them. That is, the more people say something unpleasant to the event, the more they will be covered in this dirty business, and the fewer people who will have a way back. - This is the same KGB technology, when a person is initially substituted for a crime, looking for something reputationally not, and then blackmail it. He wants to smear as much as possible.
But in Russia, they also love the phrase that the king is good, the boyars are bad. These point repression is removed, but they will come as a decisive step in the wise Putin. - Exactly. Because Russian society is largely on centralization of power. And when the king becomes weak, the destruction of the whole system and the whole of Russia begins. Both the entire bureaucratic apparatus and society are most likely to perceive, because it is already beating.
It is easier to remove any particular official than the king himself. It is easier to blame, destroy some boyars than to destroy the Institute of President of Russia. Because this will be more danger. And the destruction of a particular family or link of bureaucrats, or even some agency can be treated even as entertainment. Therefore, I think there will be no mass repression, but there will be such point changes.
-That is, for the Russian population, these repression will be a point of show business, I understood you correctly? - It gives a great opportunity to strengthen the power. Because it is possible to show again how the authorities effectively fighting traitors, bribes, with those who are stolen. Such people will be able to hang all dogs. All you can. To accuse them of all the troubles, in all failures.
Všetky práva vyhradené IN-Ukraine.info - 2022