Wagner goes. As Prigogine became a dangerous political figure for Putin

According to him, Wagner units allegedly wanted to seize the city by May 9, but because of the lack of ammunition, they were forced to leave it. Prigogine stated that they transfer their positions to the military units of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, the relevant documents have already been sent to the management. Bakhmut's "Wagnerivtsi" was announced at 00:00 on May 10.

The Ministry of Defense did not in any way comment on the threats of Prigogine, but took the position of PVC to the head of Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov. On May 7, in his telegram, Kadyrov's channel was allegedly an appeal to President Vladimir Putin, Defense Minister Sergei Shoiga and the director of Rosgvardia's federal service Viktor Zolov with a request to submit to Akhmat's Akhmat unit. To be more precise, the "Kadyrovka" should leave their positions and go to Bakhmut.

The next day, Prigogin reported that he was promised to give ammunition and weapons as much as it was needed to continue further action. On May 9, Prigogine's press service in his channel telegram posted a video where he states that he received only 10 percent of the required amount of ammunition, and the Armed Forces "torn his flanks". It is unknown when this video was made.

"We have come a combat order that it was said that in the event of leaving the state of betray The intrigues are constantly rotating. We have an intrigue instead of the Ministry of Defense, so our army runs, " - said Prigogine. Former deputy chairman of the SBU, Major General Victor Yugan explains that all the statements of Prigogine are pure water Blaf to achieve his interests.

He explains that Akhmat's units of Kadyrov will in no way be able to replace neither the Wagnerians nor any military connection on the line of combat. "Kadyrovka" is not adapted to assault actions as well as the first line service. It should be understood that these are police units of the so -called Rosgvardia, under the roof of which Ramzan Kadyrov created his detachments. In no case, they are not able to provide assault actions, except as a barrier detachment for retreating to the rear.

"Kadyrovka" is Putin's dogs, their main tasks are terror, both in Russia and the occupied territories and push -ups of business in local ones. Today, neither the Russian army nor "Kadyrovka" can replace Wagner PVC in Bakhmut's positions, "says Focus Yugan. Analysts of the American Institute for War Study suggest that Cadirov's blackmail and Prigogine is designed for the pressure of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.

The management fundamentally did not change its intention to reduce the priority of offensive operations and keep ammunition at the theater of war. confidence in their strength. "Political scientist Yaroslav Makitra is convinced that Dearh Prigogine is a well -conducted information campaign, which was built at the expense of the so -called radical racists - that is, supporters of war, who believe that it is not done as it is necessary.

"It was because of them that it was possible to roll out an information campaign, which gave some results for Prigogine and managed to reassure the conflict. How difficult it is difficult to say is, but in my opinion it will increase in the future. Remember, the similar situation was already on February 23, when Prigogine demanded ammunition. Then the date of February 23 - the Day of Defender of the Fatherland in Russia was selected, now - Victory Day.

I think the new series can be somewhere in the 20's of the next month, "-says the political scientist focus. If you analyze the information field on the war in Ukraine, there is a feeling that only" Wagnerivtsi "is fighting on Russia. More voices that are increasingly being heard in kitchens in Russia. He is well aware that the Kremlin is dependent on him and his PVC, so it is not the first to allow such freedom and disdainful statements towards the political leadership of the Russian Federation.

Focus has already told that At the beginning of 2023, the Bagin granted informal permission to criticize the authorities - and he began to criticize "detached from the life" of officials and the administration of the President of the Russian Federation. In the analytical environment, they say that the Kremlin allowed Prigogine to easily criticize the authorities in exchange. peaceful military leadership.

It seems that the Kremlin has overheated by this decision, because he created an independent political figure from a little -known "Kukhar Putin. " In Russia, there is a certain number of its supporters, which will continue to grow. According to the minor sociology that can be obtained from there, there are about 20-30% of voters who are affected by Prigogine, his activity, style of communication,-says Makitra.

-This is the case when its detention is not a minus, but a big plus for the image among, so to speak, the domain voters. For them, Prigogine can be a real alternative to Putin, and is more likely than all liberals and Navalny. " Television is under full control and relaxed only what is needed by the Kremlin. But he succeeded, through the Internet and social networks.

At the same time, Makitra notes that Prigogine is not an independent beneficiary Military analyst, Colonel Peter Chernik, is now increasing the struggle for power, in the Kremlin are urgently looking for someone who is guilty of failures in Ukraine. That is why, such characters as Prigogine, Girkin or Kadyrov will be increasingly appearing with their comments or blackmail.

"It should be mentioned that historically the nature of power in Russia, from Ivan the Terrible, was built so that no one simply gave power. These were palace coups, murders, or even the shooting of the royal family, as the Bolsheviks did. In Russia, the struggle for power is increasing, in which Putin has already lost a strategic war. Now is the situation where the Kremlin will look for someone to blame for the failure in Ukraine.

Is it a "power tower", led by Patrushev, who convinced Putin in victory in Ukraine, whether it is a "military tower" along with Shoiga - which showed its inability and weakness of the Russian army, or Putin himself. For Putin Kadyrov and Prigogine, they are a chain dogs that will protect his authority as much as needed. So far, the Russian President is able to balance the processes, but whether it is a matter for a long time, "says Chernik's focus.