Based on the opinion that seems plausible to me: Yerevan at one time signed such "Minsk Agreements", which was difficult to execute. Why this exacerbation happened now, when Russia, the closest ally, seemed to Armenias, was buried in the war in Ukraine. And what is the role of Turkey? - They tried to sign and have been trying to sign for 33 years. And it is obvious that there was no use there, no and can not be.
And this is the reason why Minsk was unsuccessful for Ukraine from the beginning - something was absolutely unacceptable from the beginning. Now, why another activity has exploded in the course of this conflict, which is periodically outing into the war, and two wars have already taken place. Now it is unclear whether what happened to the third war. It is very important to understand the constant presence in this war, in these conflicts of Russia. And not only territorially.
On the territory of Armenia there is a military unit, and the so -called peacekeepers consist exclusively of Russian troops that provide a corridor for the connection of Nagorno -Karabakh and Armenia, and some posts in the territory of Nagorny Karabakh. This time, which should be clearly understood, Russia, having suffered the collapse of Kharkov, provoked the current conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia. I will remind the three information messages that we have heard the last two weeks.
The first is that Russia transfers control over individual objects of Azerbaijan. Why? Because it was necessary to bring the troops from there, to direct them to Ukraine. The second message provided by the Azerbaijani news. From the posts where Russian troops were supposed to be, the border posts of Azerbaijan were fired. Azerbaijan struck. Third. Why did it happen? For the simple reason that the situation near Kharkov actually covered Russia.
And so for Putin, for the Kremlin clicks, it was absolutely necessary to intercept this information field. As soon as the conflict began, the shelling of Nagorny Karabas, immediately Nicolo Pashinyan, the Prime Minister of Armenia, calls, phone calls in the Putin-Macron Pashinyan Triangle, Putin Scholz Pashinyan and so on. Because both France and Germany are what is called the Minsk format.
In this way, Putin again subjects himself, intercepts the information field, artificially begins to fill with this information field, and for almost two weeks holds Russia in the information vector of the next war between Azerbaijan and Armenia. The second thing, which is exactly so provoked by the other day, and this is not a random thing is the next shootouts between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. This is another addition [before] that Moscow had to keep the information field.
I am not saying that this conflict itself, shootouts, war between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan began after the visit [Minister of Defense of Russia] Shogu to Dushanbe. The obvious presence of the Russian side at the beginning of the breakdowns of these trucers, arrangements. This is the way Putin, the Kremlin Fuhrer, tries to extinguish a fire that is already burning in Moscow because of the defeat of Kharkov.
- Speaking of what is happening between the allies: Armenia asked for the protection of the CDC. How do you evaluate and treat these maneuvers? - What concerns the Eurasian space, which concerns the CCU, these structures in terms of regulatory procedures are worked out in comparison with similar structures by 5-6%. That is, they all existed and do not exist in order to provide declared functions. "Euraseves Bank to help participants!" "The Eurashes Fund for help participants!" All these words.
All these structures exist in order to ensure Russia's dominance in this space, it is first. And secondly, use a mechanism to restore what is called the Soviet Union under the Kremlin's head.
There is no principle of equality there! When there are situations such as it was in Kazakhstan, as it happened in Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, as what happens between Azerbaijan and Armenia in Nagorny Karabakh, the City of City! I will remind that there is only one subdivision in the UDTR, which consists of a total amount of 150 soldiers, which once a year gather in Belarus, then in Kazakhstan . . .
- And this structure was created as an alternative to NATO? - Of course! From the very beginning it was clear. I witnessed the exercises in Belarus, when they came there, dressed the form, lived in tents in the steppe, ate some soup. Then they removed these clothes, gave it to the warehouse, dressed in national military uniforms and went home. That's all the training. And what was in Kazakhstan was funny. Because there when landing the BMD (the landing machine of the landing - ed.
), She just fell into the swamp, then no one got it. It is impossible to call them even fun troops, as the famous emperor, because there is nothing to rejoice there. - About Summit, which took place in Samarkand. What is your assessment of this meeting? What did it testify? - The first is a Chinese idea. All managing functions of the Shanghai cooperation organization are in Beijing. Separate executive, sectoral [institutions] are in small Central Asian republics: Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan.
And in Turkmenistan, I think. What does this testify? Beijing conceived this idea as a mechanism for collecting Central Asian states. But when this process began, Russia quickly jumped on the footlight, then Turkey, and now - Iran. In fact, the idea of Beijing - the capture of Central Asia, dominance there - turned into an organization where there is a duel between Beijing, Moscow, Tehran, and, of course, Turkey has recently come into this dispute.
And the competition [September 15] would be a sin that it was not used by the head of the PRC, to show the place of Russia. Therefore, the behavior of the Prime Minister of Kyrgyzstan, who was late for a meeting with Putin, or lectures, which he read Xi Jinping Fuhrer-this is all indicative that Beijing considers Moscow's secondary role to date. But the very interesting development of the situation is further, because there is Iran, there is Turkey. India is present in all this organization.
That is, in fact, it is a meal of slow action that will not explode sharply - it will simply spread how the CDU will spread. It is obvious that India is uncomfortable there, like Turkey. It is obvious that one and a half, two, maximum of three years of creation of a certain movement of non -comparison, where India and a number of states of the world will go. I called the non -joining movement as it was once called - old phraseology.
It is a kind of neutral club of states that will be neither with one nor with others. - Will they be distinguished from Moscow? - They will be distinguished from Moscow, Beijing, from Brussels, and Washington. It will be something that "we are so poor, unhappy, give us a little help, because we will not handle without help. " I do not know what role Moscow can play in this, because it all depends on what the world sees Moscow after defeat in the war with Ukraine.
Because you see how shy in the world to ask this question. Even the question, what is victory for the world in this war? Therefore, this shyness will start a number of initiatives. If no one drives the cart, he starts from the mountain himself, because the wheels or something else rot. - The ex -commander of the US Army in Europe, General Ben Gogeges called on the world to prepare for the collapse of Russia for a number of reasons, and reduce the geopolitical consequences of this process.
In fact, Russia is really a "shaky ear"? - The fact that Russia has not cope with its internal problems for a long time, is known to the world. Another thing is that the world is jumped by nuclear potential, which is as tired as all Russia. But no one will analyze the technological component, because there is a nuclear fright in the world. The world, being in this fright, is simply not able to think about Russia's fate today.
And from here, this reflection of the President of France, the Chancellor of Germany, is sometimes resorting to US leaders. And reflection on this Russian impotence (political, defensive and so on) is dangerous in itself. Because it preserves Russia in this status of the empire of evil. And the second negative thing is blocking the world from rational consideration.
And these healthy beginnings that have arisen in Russia are national movements, the world of fright is not capable of not what to support, it is not able to see them rationally. - How right, rationally prepare for this collapse of Russia? -First, you need to answer the question of the continuation of the war.
I said dozens of times that German, French, American, Polish - a European soldier should become next to the Ukrainian soldier, to make it clear what war is? Because at the domestic level this war is not understood in the world. It is understood by the elite, but it still means nothing. This is the first. Second. The question should be clearly asked: how to deprive the Kremlin terrorist cooperative lake (a negative cliché against the current authorities in Russia - Ed.
) The ability to manage a nuclear button. Because there is no danger that nuclear potential can disperse in nation -states. No one says that Russia should be torn into pieces, but Russia's fate should be determined by the subjects of the Federation! That is, states that want to form nation -states, let them form. Who wants to stay in the Confederation, let them be in the Confederation. But even today, what is written in the Russian Constitution is not true. And the third.
What does the world want as a result of this victory? Deprivation of nuclear status of Russia? Denuclearization? He wants reparations? He wants surrender? He wants Putin's removal? Does he want to remove the lake cooperative from power? There are so many issues here that in the Second World War began to answer since December 1942. No one has seen victory in the projection, but they started talking about it. This is ashamed of this today.
And they stopped only on the fact that Ramstein performs the technological function of providing Ukraine. There they cannot even declare that Ramstein can become a global world security system. Even in this, they are ashamed to admit. These conversations are not happening. Moreover, for some reason they are restrained, in particular at the military-technical level. "Shoot there, and do not shoot there," and as a result it delay the moment of victory.
As you know, delaying victory makes it possible to accumulate strength. As we see it now. - Do you see the signs of the collapse of Russia? And how should it happen? We understand that after we expel this Russian invasion from our earth, we will not end problems with Russia until there is a change in political elites. We already see a message that they have been released in the state. Deputies write letters to the state, call to declare Putin a traitor.
Will we see such a cascade of these collapses, the assaults? Will it not be at one time? - What you are talking about now is Alpha and Omega of Russia as a state, as phenomena. And they either see or not see it. Now he was noticed. But it was, it is and it will be if it is stored as it is! In fact, Russia is 190 national prisons, which with torture are these national entities.
And in the Kremlin sits Fuhrer with his bandit organization a cooperative lake and does everything that those national cells do not feel, do not identify themselves as Tatars, as Bashkiri, as Mordovians, as Maria, as Dagestan, like Ossetians and so on. Hence the question of victory as such and, second-what will be Russia, and what it will be-these are super-important things. Where can these questions be considered? Only in Ramstein format.
But for this format Ramstein should be complemented by two levels! Now he is military-technological. That is, he decides where to get weapons, how many weapons, how to pay; How, what and where to produce. There should be a military-political level, that is, the government level. And the level of strategic is the level of heads of state. Because the military-technical and technological level does not consider the question of what victory is, what the goal is.
What is the declared political goal of this war on the Ukrainian side? We heard one: go to the state border. And then it was formed in the last six months. And now it is clear that when you go to the border, we do not solve the question. Because there is a weapon like rockets. And then smart people now said that the nature of the war is changing. What do they do not do? That the front will disappear as the phenomenon, but the missiles will fly.
Všetky práva vyhradené IN-Ukraine.info - 2022