The Russian Federation is waiting for a very cold winter. And spring. And further too

Video of the day was reported by Bloomberg with reference to a confidential report prepared for a closed meeting of the Russian leadership on August 30. Persons familiar with its discussion confirmed the authenticity of the document. According to the agency, he was the result of a multi -year work of officials and experts - and he draws a much "gloomier picture" than official statements.

Two of the three scenarios in the report show that the fall of the Russian economy will accelerate in 2023, and it will return to the pre -war level only at the end of the decade or even later. The "inertial" scenario predicts the fall of the Russian economy in 2023 by 8. 3% compared to 2021, and 6% 2024. The "stress" scenario involves the fall of GDP by 11% of 2023 and 11. 9% of 2024. All scenarios provide for increased pressure of sanctions, which are likely to join more and more countries.

The report states that the abrupt rejection of Europe from Russian oil and gas will hit the Kremlin's ability to provide the domestic market. In addition to sanctions that already cover about a quarter of Russian imports and exports, the report describes in detail how Russia faces a blockade that has "affected almost all modes of transport. " Pressure on the economy of the Russian Federation increases technological and financial constraints.

According to the report, up to 200 thousand IT professionals can leave the country by 2025. In the next year or two, the Russian Federation is waiting for "reducing production in a number of sectors oriented": from oil and gas to metallurgical, chemical products and exports of wood. "These sectors will cease to be drivers of the economy," the report said. The complete cessation of gas supply to Europe (the main export market of Russia) can cost $ 6.

6 billion a year in the form of underpassed tax revenues. It will not be possible to fully compensate for the lost markets with new export directions, even in the medium term, the report reads. ● At the same time, the Kremlin continues to brave and, having blocked the North Stream gas pipeline, launched on a third -rate YouTube - and other channels a roller, which frightens the EU "in a large winter". ● Moscow in despair.

According to the US intelligence, Russia buys "millions of artillery shells and missiles" in North Korea. This can testify to both the impact of Western sanctions on the military-industrial complex of the Russian Federation and its inability to produce enough even the simplest weapon for war with Ukraine. The New York Times wrote about it, analyzing a new portion of declassified information that the US reconnaissance has decided to make public.

"After a certain lull in the disclosure of [intelligence], the US government again began to declassify information to draw attention to the problems of the Russian army, including recent intelligence on the purchase of Iranian drones and the problems of the Russian army with a set of soldiers," - reminds the US.

According to US officials, Russia's decision to contact the Iran countries-Iran, and now the DPRK, is a sign that sanctions and export control imposed by the states and Europe, prevent Moscow from fully providing their army with the necessary equipment and ammunition. ● Press Putin.

"I think that it is quite possible for the Ukrainian army of this autumn and winter period to push Russian troops to the border on February 23," said General Ben Gorse, an ex-commander of US land troops in Europe, in an interview with NV. - If the event remains faithful to Ukraine and continue to hold sanctions, provide military and economic assistance to Ukraine, Russia will not withstand.

If we retreat, it will immediately rise the war in Ukraine for the whole world and turn it into many years and grueling. ” ● Be careful, the Russians - the door is caught in front of you. The European Commission (EC) has proposed to completely suspend a simplified visa agreement with the Russian Federation. The decision should now be made by the EU Council.

The EC explained that such a measure would be a response to the risks and threats to the interests of EU security and Member States through Russia's military aggression. ● So a good person. “She didn't say anything good about us. Moreover, we can say with regret that her statements were aggressive to our address, unfriendly and non -constructive, ”the Kremlin spokesman of the Kremlin Peskov responded to the election of Liz TRASS by a new British prime minister.

He added that "on this basis, we can assume that between the aggressor and the United Kingdom" especially nothing will change in the prospect available for view. " ● And Boris Johnson, speaking to Down Street with his last premiere speech, thanked the ministers for working with Brexit, for prompt deployment of a campaign with Covid vaccination, as well as for effective confrontation between Russian dictator Putin.

He added that the supply of British weapons to Ukraine, for which he spoke from the beginning, could well change the course of war. ● The loss of the invaders exceeded 50 thousand people and 2 thousand tanks. Since the beginning of a full -scale invasion of Ukraine, the Russian Federation has lost about 50 150 of their military, 350 of them in the last day. Such data was published by the General Staff of the Armed Forces. The enemy suffered the biggest losses per day in the Donetsk direction.

The invaders also lost more than 13 thousand pieces of equipment, among which: tanks - 2077 (+9 per day), combat armored vehicles - 4484 (+25), artsystems - 1179 (+22), rocket launchers - 296 (+2 ), air defense agents-156 (+0), planes-236 (+0), helicopters-207 (+1), drones of operative-tactical level-876 (+9) and more. ● The offensive of the Armed Forces destroys Putin's hopes.

The actions of the Armed Forces during the counter -offensive noticeably weaken not only logistics but also the administrative capabilities of Russia in the occupied territories of southern Ukraine, which also influences the plans of the occupants of illegal "referendums". The American Institute for War Study (ISW) informed about it.

ISW analysts remind that Ukrainian troops seek to undermine the rear resources of the Russian army in the south, "causing point blows on clusters of living power and equipment, command centers and logistics units" - that the Ukrainian side confirms officially. ● During the counter -offensive in the southern direction, the Ukrainian military knocked out Russian invaders from the village of Olgine, Beryslav district, Kherson region (in addition to the highpil).

Such a statement was made by Alexei Arestovich, adviser to OP. ● The Ukrainian forces struck two pontoon crossings of Russian invaders in the Kherson region - in the districts of Dariyivka and the bare pier. This was reported by the press service of the operational command "South". ● Collaborators continue to explode. In the occupied Berdyansk (Zaporizhzhya region) there was an explosion near the captured Armed Forces of the Russian Federation of the building of the city administration.

According to the Russian media, an explosive device installed in a car parked near the building belonged to the so -called "commandant of the city" by Artem Bardin. ● Last day, Ukrainian troops managed to advance and take new positions in the Luhansk region, said the head of the local OVA Sergey Gaidai. “The Luhansk region is holding on. Several hundred meters in yesterday were added, which our military control. Attacks were reflected, and some progress occurred.

Our defenders became entrenched there, ”he said. ● Biden does not want to recognize the Russian Federation with a sponsor of terrorism. US President Joe Biden does not support Russia's recognition by the sponsor of terrorism. So he answered the corresponding question of media representatives. ● Even on July 28, the US Senate unanimously approved a resolution that urges the State Department to declare the Russian Federation a sponsor of terrorism.

In response in Moscow, they stated that if such a confession happens, the Kremlin recognizes such a step for a "non-return point" in Russian-American relations. ● "State - Sponsor of Terrorism" is the term of the State Department, which denotes countries that have repeatedly provided support for acts of international terrorism. " The decision to recognize a country with a sponsor is made by the US Secretary of State.

As of the summer of 2022, the American list of terrorism sponsors included four countries: Cuba, DPRK, Iran and Syria. To the topic: ● In the morning, the Russians fired at residential quarters and Kharkiv center. The enemy also struck Kryvyi Rih - a strong fire occurred at the local oil depot. ● The Armed Forces have shot down five of the six missiles, which released in Ukraine in the morning of September 6, said the Air Force Command Yuri Ignat.

● Nuclear blackmail is covered by the civilian population. Ukraine requires the creation of a humanitarian corridor for the evacuation of women, children and the elderly from the territory adjacent to the enemy of the Zaporizhzhya NPP (which the occupiers are periodically fired). "People come to our help massively - they try to leave a dangerous territory," said Viceremierk Irina Vereshchuk.

"We once again appeal to the Russian Federation with a requirement to give us a humanitarian corridor for evacuation of women, children, and the elderly. " But Russia, she said, officially refuses to provide such corridors. Viceremierka added that Ukraine will not stop trying to help its citizens go to safe places. ● Meanwhile, a powerful explosion occurred in the occupied energy (satellite city).

The mayor Dmitry Orlov in Telegram informed about it: “Today at 12:20, the residents of Energodar reported that a powerful explosion had been in the city. After that, light and water supply disappeared in Energodar. " ● NPP should be urgently protected. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has published a 52-page report on the basis of a visit to the Zaporizhzhya NPP captured by Russian invaders.

The conclusions say that there is an urgent need to take temporary measures to prevent a nuclear accident, in particular to establish a safe area around ZPP. The agency is ready to start consultations for the urgent creation of such a zone. The IAEA also emphasized that this is the first case of a "military conflict" at a nuclear facility and that an accident can have serious consequences both in Ukraine and abroad.

● Scholz continues to hinder the supply of weapons to Ukraine? German Chancellor Olaf Soltz refused to hand over the Armed Forces of LOOPARD 2 in response to the corresponding request of Ukrainian prime minister Denis Shmigal. The German Welt wrote about it. At the same time, according to the newspaper, Krauss-Maffei Wegmann arms, tanks manufacturer, was ready to put 100 pieces of equipment to Ukraine, including spare parts and training modules for soldiers totaling 1. 55 billion euros.

But the German government banned supply. In addition, in April, Ukraine received proposals from RheinMetall to buy 100 BMP Marder and 88 major LEOPARD 1 combat tanks for 268 million euros. The corresponding export applications were submitted immediately, but within five months the Scholz administration also did not respond to them. ● G7 ambassadors warn Bank. An unpleasant history of NABU is unfolding for Ukraine.

Currently, the post of director of the Bureau Vakant, but has already started work on the selection of candidates. At the same time, the Committee of the Verkhovna Rada on the Organization of State Inspectorate and Regional Development (but not a profile anti -corruption committee) supported amendments to the NABU Law. If the Council approves these innovations tomorrow, it will reduce the requirements for the political independence of the future director of the Bureau.

Currently, candidates who have been running parties for the last two years have no right to apply for the competition, but under new norms they will be enough to withdraw from the party at the time of application. The author of the innovations is the head of the State Power Committee and the deputy of CH Andriy Klochko, the person involved in the investigation of the Bihusinfo project about his mother's real estate for 14 million UAH.

And although some other "servants of the people" against such changes, it seems that op wanders. So: Ambassadors G 7, who carefully monitor the situation, believe that the bill from Kloch "creates legal risks and uncertainty around the procedures for the selection of leaders of leading anti -corruption institutions". Apparently, from the beginning of a full -scale invasion, representatives of the Great Seven did not make such negative statements to the Ukrainian authorities.

And finally: ● Crimea is ready for de -occupation. In the big cities of the occupied Crimea, pro -Ukrainian postcards began to appear with calls for preparation for the de -occupation of the peninsula and evacuate. As reported in Telegram, the Yellow Ribbon Resistance Movement was developed and activists from Simferopol, Kerch, Yalta, Evpatoria, Janka and other cities of the peninsula were developed and deposited. The postcards also have a reminder that Crimea is Ukraine.