According to him, sanctions for the war in Ukraine really stopped the growth of the Russian economy: the Kremlin expected that in 2022 the economic sector of the country would show an increase of 5-6%, but instead of growth there was a fall by 4%. But the effectiveness of sanctions, Oleg Vyugin, estimates only 30-40%, as Moscow has learned to bypass restrictions. In addition, Russian officials continue to praise the Russian economy.
Thus, President Vladimir Putin said that in 2022 the country will decrease by only 2%, although the profile ministries of the Russian Federation forecast a fall in the region of 3%. "The main result of the sanctions is that the process of economic growth in Russia was interrupted for several years," said Oleg Vyugin. Now, in order to cause irreparable damage to the economic potential of the Russian Federation, in Europe, they are thinking of limiting the use of Russian oil and gas.
Such development of the situation is also afraid in Moscow itself, despite the rainbow statements of the first persons of the state, that Europe will not be able to live without Russian energy. "If exports are very limited, it will cause serious harm, and we will see the next cycle of falling GDP," - said former Deputy Minister of Economy of the Russian Federation Oleg Vyugin. He also believes that the influence of some sanctions Russians will feel a little later.
This applies to the technological sector, which is almost entirely dependent on imports. "If the situation does not change, in Russia there will be a gradual decrease in the level of technological development," Vyugin added. At the same time, the revenues of the Russian Federation from the sale of oil and natural gas in August 2022 have become the lowest in the last 14 months. The whole thing is in sanctions that the Russian government sells energy to Asia with serious discounts.
Therefore, in August, the Kremlin earned $ 11. 1 billion (671. 9 billion rubles) in the supply of oil and gas. Compared to July 2022, revenues decreased by 13%. Recall that in a closed report for the Russian government, which was introduced by Bloomberg, it is said that the aggressor country will encounter a long and deep recession through American and European sanctions in 2023, many major sectors of the economy will be at risk.
Všetky práva vyhradené IN-Ukraine.info - 2022