The Russian Army cannot stop the Armed Forces offensive in the Kherson region, Putin is betting on the recruitment

According to its analysts, continuous strikes of the Ukrainian forces on Russian terrestrial communications lines (Glok) in the Kherson region are likely to have an increasing impact on the supply of the army of the Russian Federation on the right bank of the Dnieper. One of the results was at least a temporary weakening of Russian artillery fire.

The positions of non -professional units of the puppet forces of the Russian Federation collapsed in some sections of the Russian front line, allowing the Armed Forces to move forward. "The Ukrainian forces are likely to bring back to themselves, if not all, the western part of the Kherson region in the coming weeks, if they continue to block Russian supply lines (Glok) and will continue their offensive," the ISW experts predict.

In their opinion, Ukraine can slowly increase success if Russian troops retain their relative coherence in the area, but the Armed Forces can be greatly accelerated if the forces of the Russian Federation allow breakthroughs.

Video of the day at the same time the Institute's analysts state that Russian forces are likely to try to carry out a more controlled retreat in the western part of the Kherson region to avoid a chaotic escape, which was characteristic of the fall of Russian defense borders in Kharkiv region.

Over the past few months, the Russian Federation has severely strengthened forces to the west of the Kherson region, in particular at the expense of airborne units and at least some parts of the 1st Guards Tank Army. "These allegedly professional, well -trained and equipped parts are concentrated on a small area in the Kherson region and were prepared for the expected counter -offensive," ISW reminds. - It seems that they work much better than Russian forces in Kharkiv region.

Ukrainians destroyed a number of parts of the 1st Guards Army in the Kharkiv region, forcing them to run and capture a large amount of quality equipment. ” Meanwhile, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is increasingly betting on irregular "volunteer" and puppet formations of troops, not on regular parts and units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.

At the same time, ISW analysts state the likely deterioration of Putin's relations with the military leadership of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation - allegedly a dictator more and more often, and especially after defeat in Kharkiv region, in the issue of recruitment is bypassing the Russian Higher Military Command.

One of the Russian propagandists informed that Russian troops "have already started the process of formation and staffing of the 4th Army Corps-at least at the level of documentation. " The subjects of the Russian Federation are also trying to create volunteer units - they were previously used in the formation of the Third Army Corps.

The Russian forces are also increasingly recruiting prisoners, involving the units of the Cossacks, elements of Russian special services (including the FSB and Rosgvardia), as well as secretly mobilize men from the occupied Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine. The formation of such specific units will lead to further stress, inequality and general absence of cohesion between the forces of the Russian Army, the ISW analysts believe.

The groups from which these parts are formed "have different levels of military training, decentralized command structures, different perception of war and motivation for combat, which can cause conflicts and poor coordination of units. " "The only thing that unites them is absolutely inadequate training and preparation for hostilities," the Institute's specialists write.

As a result, they conclude that "the formation of irregular, hurriedly trained units add little to the combat force of the Russian forces fighting in Ukraine. " Forbes reminds that the recently formed 3rd Army Corps tried to defend Russian positions in the Kharkiv region during the Armed Forces Counter-offshore, but was unable to change anything, and simply "dissolved".

One of the Russian military bloggers also stated that last week the Russian command allegedly ordered to "retreat" all units stationed in the Donbass. If this is true, then such an order would be important in two aspects, according to ISW experts. First, Donetsk region is the only territory in Ukraine where Russian troops are still trying to conduct offensive operations.

There were only single reports about limited Ukrainian counterattacks, but in general there is no evidence that Ukraine is preparing a large -scale counter -off -marking operation in the area. However, the order not to retreat suggests that the Russian army is afraid to lose its latest offensive efforts during the Ukrainian counter -offensive.