He is convinced that when Western politicians say they do not want to give Ukraine a particular weapon to avoid escalation, they mean the use of nuclear weapons, as Putin has no other real tools. Booth said Putin may have the desire to use nuclear weapons against neutral countries, but this perspective should not be considered seriously. "Putin is rational enough to understand: if he cannot win Ukraine, he will not win NATO. It is not the battle he wants to start," the historian said.
He is convinced that Putin often threatened nuclear weapons, but not crazy to use it. "I don't think it should restrain us for a number of reasons. Putin blened nuclear weapons, but you know, he is not crazy. He is not a suicide. He does not want to start a war in which he will not be able to win. The Ukrainians struck in Crimea or Russia. It seemed to ignore it, ”the historian said. In addition, Putin is strongly pressed by China so that it does not resort to nuclear weapons.
Booth expressed confidence that Putin understands everything. "The use of nuclear weapons will not necessarily bring him a victory in war. This is not an easy way to win war. And indeed, nuclear precipitation can get to Russia itself. Therefore, it is likely that at some point it can use nuclear weapons, but it is not high . This is what we need to worry about, but it's an event with a rather low probability, "he added.
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