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Military expert Konstantin Mashovets analyzes the situation throughout the demar...

Russia is preparing a tank blow. Why are the enemy's strength concentrated in Kupyansk direction

Military expert Konstantin Mashovets analyzes the situation throughout the demarcation line, highlighting the most significant events that have occurred in recent days. The command of the enemy of the enemy "Waip" continues to take measures to strengthen its capabilities for air support of land troops. In particular, in the area of ​​N. P.

Rovenky and Berezhny Belgorod region The Russian Federation (respectively, at least two field airfields (PA) for army aviation (AA), on which two tactical air groups are concentrated for 5 and 13 km from the state border of Ukraine) were launched and equipped DCU): 2. PA in the Berezhny area (13 km to the DCU): in fact, the enemy focused on PA, directly near the area The staffing helicopters are.

In total: the fact that at the same time with these measures, the command of the War received another reinforcement (and also in Kupyansk direction) in the form of at least 2 full-complex battalions from the 4th staff of the 4th is drawn at the same time. Tank Division (TD) of the 1st GV. Tank Army (and).

Namely-a tank battalion (TV) from the 12th tank regiment (TP) and a motorized rifle battalion (IAS) from the 423th Motorized Rifle Regiment (SME)-(yes, this is the same "which was famous under raisins", "Yampilsky "). Both-from Naro-Phominskaya. This tactical group was moved from the area of ​​the village. Ryabiki (Russian Federation), where she was in the "Reserve of the first stage" in the area of ​​the village. Kolomychikha (Lugansk region, Ukraine).

With the obvious intent of the enemy's troops to introduce these units "into battle" in the near future. Considering the fact that parts and units of the 138th Separate Rifle Brigade (OMSBR), the 25th OMSBR and a number of units of the 2nd ISD, the issue of "possible jerk" from the north to south, have already been deployed here. Yang is not at all removed from the agenda.

At least last week, the enemy continued to intensively fire the nearest tactical rear of our troops in this direction and tried to conduct a reconnaissance search for Masyutivka and Senkivtsi. 2.

The Command of the Black Sea Fleet (FF) of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continues to implement a set of measures to strengthen the protection and defense Type "surface" (in total, up to 220 mines of type "Yarm" and "PDM-3ya", controlled remotely), as well as a system of hydroacoustic and hydro-location sensors and scanners, which is exacerbated in the PB area of ​​the Fleet forces by using hydroacoustic buoys and search stations .

It is obvious that the command of the Black Sea Fleet carries out these measures, taking into account the possibility of using a number of means of defeat, such as high-speed non-exhibit, remotely controlled, surface and submarine apparatus. At least 1 Fregate of Managed Missile Weapons (COP) 11356 "Admiral Essen" and 1 diesel-electrical submarine (deple) BC 636. 3 (both, by the way, are carriers of CRMB type "caliber") Sevastopol on the 13th CRZ on repair, clearly "not going to go there.

But for some reason they still had to be there. As part of the forces and means of the Black Sea Fleet, which are involved in the tasks of air defense, PDO and patrolling of the water area adjacent to the Kerch bridge transition, there was a replacement and some regrouping. Patrol Corvette (or Corvette of the Naval Zone), Ave.

22160 "Dmitry Rogachev" returned to the Novorossiysk PB, and was replaced by a small Protetic ship (IPC), and by our classification - Corvet In 25 miles northwest of the bridge in the Azov Sea. For his part, the same type "Dmitry Rogachov" patrol corvet. Thus, given the fact that 2 more anti-diversion boats (PDCA), pr.

21980-P-350 "Kirovets cadet" and P-349 "Suvorovets"-are 18 miles north of the Kerch Strait in the Azov Sea, becomes clear that the forces and means of the Black Sea Federation, in particular, its ship composition and a certain part of the MAPS, are quite active in the case of "defense" very important for the Russians of communication "thread" through the Kerch Strait.

Moreover, it is no less obvious that although the "protection and defense" of this bridge is organized by the Russians on a "all-be" principle, but the greatest "trouble" they still expect from the north and northwestern directions (quite logical, just from there. reality and can fly "something unexpectedly unpleasant"). 3. The ruling in Belarus the regime continues all the "fibers of their soul" to play the Kremlin in the present war.

From the territory of the 46th arsenal of storage of rockets and ammunition of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Poland (Bronna Gara, Brest region, RB), from May 10 to May 11, it is planned to transfer to the Arsenal of the GRAU of the MOF (Kotluban, Volgograd region. , Russian Federation) another batch of "acute -physical materials" in the amount of more than 600 tons of explosives, which is used in the process of equipment of artillery and mortar ammunition.

Most likely, Russians on the basis of this arsenal were organized by an enterprise for the restoration of artillery ammunition and mines, removed from long -term storage, and which are currently unusable for use for their intended purpose.

Typically, these massive supply of OWT and ammunition from warehouses and storage facilities of the Belarusian army for the needs of the Kremlin clearly indicate that at least in the near future, the Minsk assault ward is unlikely to agree to "be truly" either with Poland, or with Lithuania or Ukraine. Otherwise, he would not send "to the swamp" shells, OVT or "double -use materials".

The command of the Belarusian army completed the rotation of the 103rd Airborne Brigade (Vitebsk) as part of the forces and means determined by him for the "cover" replaced by the 350th State Tax Service and served in the PDA. I remind you that today the command of the Belarusian army continues to keep the following forces and means in the border with Ukraine: in general, in operations on "Border Cover" take part in 2-2. 2 thousand Belarusian servicemen.

In May, another stage of the so-called "comprehensive check of combat readiness of troops" began, within which the combat use of the consolidated air group of operational-tactical aviation of air-space forces (PCS) -34 and a link of 3 units of multi-purpose Su-30cm fighter jets). The enemy practically worked out the exit of the Su-34 on the border of the operated aviation weapons (60 km from the SCU, district of the village. Mykashevichi).