Projectile hunger: Russia will not be able to continue offensive actions in 2023 - isw
The new report states that on January 10 it was reported that the daily speed of Russia's artillery fire decreased by 75%in some areas. This is a historic minimum from the beginning of a full -scale invasion. It is expected that Russian troops can normalize artillery shells through inventory reductions or can view their tactics. More than how analysts write, Russian forces should throw additional shells from the rear regions of the Russian Federation, as well as buy ammunition in other countries.
"Isw has previously evaluated that the Kremlin campaigns for the formation of additional forces are unlikely to affect the course of the war, if Russia does not solve its fundamental problems with security," the report said. In addition, the report states that Russia will try to restore offensive actions in 2023.
That is why the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Sergey Shoigu on Wednesday, January 11, appointed the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, General Valery Gerasimov, a new commander of the united group of Russian troops in Ukraine. "Putin has repeatedly demonstrated that he misunderstand the possibilities of the Russian Armed Forces, and did not give up his maximalist military goals in Ukraine," the report reads.
According to analysts, Russian President mistakenly suggests that Russian troops are still capable of a great offensive. On the other hand, Putin is well aware that the offensive potential of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation has fallen greatly, and therefore Gerasimov should strengthen the troops in order not to allow the Armed Forces to carry out a successful counter -offensive. Recall that Gerasimov is appointed new commander of Russian troops in Ukraine.
The commander-in-chief of the air and space forces Surovik will become his deputy. Herasimov's deputies were appointed Commander -in -Chief of the Land Forces Oleg Salukov and Deputy Chief of Staff Alexei Kim. Earlier, Focus wrote that Ukrainians had warned about a new rocket blow to the Russian Federation. Natalia Humeniuk, the head of the operational command press center, stated that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation needed about 10 to 14 days to prepare for a new rocket attack.