Iron Curtain or the collapse of the Russian Federation: in the West predict how the war in Ukraine will end - NYT

NYT says that analysts believe that the war in Ukraine can end both the collapse of the Russian Federation and the negotiations that will be issued in the Kremlin for victory. Many Western analysts are trying to predict how the war in Ukraine will end. Thomas Roks, a military history, has collected some theories for The New York Times. Yes, historian Sergei Plohiy believes that no matter how the war is over, the Ukrainian people will come out of it more cohesive than ever in modern history.

At the same time, despite its forecast of the Ukrainian national unity, Plohiy states that Ukraine will lose part of its territory through the Chinese-Russian sphere of influence, and the dividing line is the iron curtain of the XXI century. Professor of Central European University in Vienna Alexander Etkind is convinced that the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a war between generations. Yes, in the highest power in Ukraine are mostly people under 50 years.

Whereas in the Russian Federation higher officials are much older. Those who governing Putin's Russia know that they cannot compete in the post -noaftow world, and therefore they are threatened with all aspects of the present. In his opinion, the war will end not only by the loss of Putin, but also as a result, the Russian Federation will collapse, assuming that Chechnya and other regions will weaken connections with Moscow or become independent.

"In 2005, Putin Khvatko called the collapse of the Soviet Union" a great geopolitical catastrophe "of the 20th century. It would be ironically if his war had completed the collapse of the Soviet Union," Ricks wrote. According to journalist Owen Matthew, the war can only end through negotiation. Putin will give their victory.

The analyst also suggests that even if the Kremlin's head subsequently leaves the authorities, he will probably replace an extremely right ultra -nationalist who will pursue aggressive policies. "The war in Ukraine has already deceived many observers and participants, so we need to be careful and not trust any predictions too much," Ricos wrote in his article. It should be reminded that on June 22, the ex -State Duma told what the war in Ukraine will end for the Russian Federation.

The Russian opposition politician and the expectorate of the State Duma Ilya Ponomarev believes that Ukrainians should not risk their lives and participate in the overthrow of Putin's regime. According to the expert of the State Duma, it is a zone of responsibility of the Russians themselves. In addition, in April, the oppositionist from the Russian Federation told what the war in Ukraine would end.