China made a choice: how Xi wrapped Putin around his finger and when he calls Zelensky
Although the results of fundamentally important, which change the current schedules. I immediately formulate for concern: whether the call of Si Jinpin will take place Vladimir Zelensky after Moscow, or the phone will call later, whether there will be no such call at all - this does not mean anything. "Call me call me!" - Not a Ukrainian song.
The marker that Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin has agreed on a common position on Ukraine, is not the formal telephone communication of the leaders of Ukraine and China, but the promulgation of Si Jinpin a specific peace plan. So we exhale and stop drawing on a napkin of a red dragon in arms with a lined ears.
And in general, the estimates of the Chinese visit are too polar - from preventive delight in Russian propagandists to the fascinating taste of Russia's enslavement in Ukrainian propagandists. And, as all sorts of extremes, these estimates are far from facts. About facts. China and Russia intend to expand economic and strategic partnership. So they have expanded it before, and since 2014 they have also deepened at the same time. But practically Russia is able to supply only energy to China.
For gas, it will be 30-50 billion cubic meters per year with a discount of 50-70%. And to Europe, the Russian Federation supplied 150 billion cubic meters at a market price, and only 20 billion m cubic meters will last for the next couple of years of supply. That is, no compensation for the lost European market smells. For petroleum products, the situation is similar. But the money that Russia earns and which is accumulated in it is enough for war against Ukraine.
In the end, they will simply stop budget payments to everyone except for military, National Guard, Police and Propagandators, and that is enough to drive Russian people to dispose of Russian people in Ukraine. Thus, the stated strategic partnership of China and the Russian Federation also envisages cooperation in the military sphere. But the result will not give it. And on the course of the increasingly decisive spring-autumn campaign in Ukraine will not have time.
Because it is not intended to drive the echelons and ammunition into Russia directly so as not to destroy the remnants of relations with the US and Europe. And small parties are not decisive by the Manivans through Belarus, Iran and other satellites of China. Moreover, weapons in China have long been not Soviet. Russian soldiers will have to study it, which is the time. In general, China clearly intends to do his favorite business - the geopolitical Ushu, in which he is a master.
That is, the use of other people's confrontations in their interests. Within such a strategy, China will seek to keep Russia from devastating defeat so that it continues to make the US nerves. But not to strengthen it excessively to be able to get it dry. This is reminiscent of an approach of a pragmatic-cynical physician who supports hope in a hopelessly ill patient in order to make money on his unpromising treatment.
In Ukraine, the Russian bear broke off even the limbs, but the head, no Chinese aybolite will go back. Accordingly, we still have: it is necessary to withstand fierce attacks of Russians throughout the front plus blows on our rear and move into their strategic counter -offensive. And believe me, China tracks every square meter of Ukrainian territory, who controls it. And when we go to the Sea of Azov, his friend will meet with President Zelensky and discuss strategic cooperation.