Maneuvers and speed: What is important to know about the tactics of the Armed Forces, so as not to let the Russian Federation distort the picture. ISW ratings and a fighting map
Its experts explained in detail why neither Ukrainians nor a event should "succumb to Russian information operations, which submit a Ukrainian counter -offensive in the Kherson region as almost instantly unsuccessful or portray Ukraine with a helpless puppet" Western masters "that prompted it to start [off the offensive] now".
ISW draws attention that such abstracts are massively promoted by Russian propaganda and military bloggers of the Russian Federation (even those who have previously criticized the Kremlin).
Among them is the statement that Western curators allegedly pushed Ukraine to premature and/or too late the beginning of a counter -offensive for "political" reasons; And also the attempts of the Russian Federation to promote rumors about allegedly different views on the counter -offensive between Vladimir Zelensky and Valery Zaluzhny, gives examples of ISW video of the day, here are several reasons why all these statements of the Russian Federation are unfounded.
In the case of tactics chosen by the Armed Forces, the result of the counter -offensive will not be noticeable every other day or a week. The Ukrainian side has long been officially recognized that it has not enough mechanized forces that would be required for a lightning operation against Russian forces in the Kherson region or anywhere.
Instead, the Armed Forces created the conditions for counter -offensive, attacking and damaging Russian land lines (GLOC), command staffs of the Russian Federation, and logistics goals in the occupied territories of southwest of Ukraine. “The start of the counter -offensive corresponds to the probable degradation of the Russian army in the western part of the Kherson region, and is balanced by the need to begin the release of occupied Ukrainian lands and people as soon as possible.
There is no reason to suspect that the choice of time was significantly influenced by inappropriate considerations or tensions [from the outside], ”the ISW analysts emphasize. They are also convinced that current counter -offensive operations are likely to "turn around in the coming weeks and possibly months", since the Armed Forces hope to take advantage of the weakening of those units offensive.
If the army is forced to lead without a numerical advantage, then it is often relied on tricks, designed to distract the enemy from those sectors where the attackers' efforts will actually concentrate, ISW experts say.
Such tactics, according to them, have several consequences that can be improperly interpreted by third parties: they also remind you of the call of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces and the authorities of Ukraine to avoid any reports or forecasts about the Ukrainian counter-offensive-which is really necessary, especially if such an offensive includes false shunting. “The situation in which Ukraine is in demands a skillful and thoughtful counter -offensive operation […].
Therefore, in her early early days, it is much more likely that [even] a successful counter -offensive will seem to be long or unsuccessful for some period before his success becomes obvious, ” - warned by the experts of the Institute of War. They point out that they intend to show "caution and prudence" in their estimates of the Ukrainian counter -offensive - and urge other analysts to do the same.