The Russian Federation has no reserves to change the course of war: ISW analysts estimated the potential of the Armed Forces in 2023
The new report states that a member of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security, Defense and Intelligence Fedor Venislavsky said that Russia has concentrated its forces in the Luhansk and Donetsk regions and partly in the Zaporozhye region. He confirmed the assessment of analysts that the Russian Federation has no amateur reserves that could be deployed and a large -scale offensive. In addition, analysts have stated that the Russian Federation has major problems with units cohesion.
"The Russian forces have suffered from their own shortcomings in the cohesion of units and are likely to encounter more tensions in relations with proxies who have not been trained in accordance with professional standards," the report said. Experts noted that the forces of the so -called "DNR" and "LNR" try to provide the Russian Federation on the borders of Lugansk and Donetsk regions.
Fighters who have had greater independence for 9 years are now trying to introduce in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. "The Russian military command may admit that Russia has no combat capability to enter the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions in the short term, and will probably try to hurry up with some planned reforms," the report said.
Analysts also stated that the Russian military command can be misled about their ability to quickly and easily perform the task of preparing their forces for the offensive. Earlier, the CSC stated that Russia had launched a campaign for disrupting mobilization in Ukraine. According to experts, the campaign uses fakes with false interpretation of visual materials. It is also connected to pseudo -experts, which spread rumors in social networks about the illegality of mobilization in Ukraine.