"First 24 hours will be decisive": the expert named the conditions of successful counter -offensive of the Armed Forces
This is stated in the publication of the Senior Researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Strategic Studies on Cyber Podity and Future Conflicts of Franz-Stefan Hadi in Foreign Policy. Speaking of the future counter -offensive of the Armed Forces, Gady mentioned the statement of German Field Marshal Erwin Rommel before the expected invasion of the Allies into the Normandy of 1944. "The first 24 hours of the invasion will be decisive . . .
For allies, as for Germany, it will be the longest day," - quotes Rommel's expert. Hadi believes that the most advantageous for Ukraine the scenario will occur if the enemy retreats, not rendering significant resistance. In his opinion, only the technical advantage will not be enough. "Intangible factors, such as tactical surprise, leadership on the battlefield and combat spirit, are likely to be crucial in the first 24 hours of attack," Gady is convinced.
According to the author of the publication, if the Armed Forces are able to provoke a failure in the management of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, Ukrainian columns will quickly break through the echelorated defense and move to the rear of the Russians. The expert noted that in a similar way the events unfolded during last year's counter -offensive of the Armed Forces in Kharkiv region.
He noted that then the Ukrainians reached a tactical suddenness and caused temporary panic from the enemy. The article also states that the Ukrainian side needs to keep the enemy in the wrong time and place of the first strike. In addition, the Armed Forces should detect the front areas with weak echelorated defense. Another important prerequisite for success in the counter -offensive Hadi considers tactical leadership.
According to him, leadership on the battlefield plays a crucial role because it directly affects the combat spirit. "Soldiers who do not trust their warlords because the latter seem oppressed friction of hostilities will quickly see how their morale evaporates," Gady stated. The last factor mentioned in the article is the ability of the Russian side to quickly mobilize its operational reserve, which will also become known in the first day.
It should be reminded that on April 17, the head of the GUR MO Kiril Budanov stated that his forecast for the release of Crimea from the Russian occupation goes according to plan. Earlier, the head of Ukrainian intelligence said that the Armed Forces would enter the peninsula by the end of spring. We also wrote that according to the statement of the NSDC Secretary Alexei Danilov dated April 18, the APU will not start a counter -offensive until they are ready.