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Friendship with and without borders. What game did China and Russia decide to play

Lawrence Friedman Honored Professor of Military Research Royal College London Lawrence Friedman: Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping promised that their friendship will not have borders (photo: reuters) Russia's experience should warn China about traps that accompany any hostilities. Very favorable. However, not everything is so simple here in the early February, Vladimir Putin made a pilgrimage to Beijing, where he met with the head of the PRC, Xi Jinping.

The cause of the Winter Olympic Games, an event, which almost immediately occurred Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Just as in the Winter Olympic Games, organized by Putin in Sochi eight years earlier, the annexation of Crimea almost immediately occurred. Regardless of whether Putin said about his plans, an important part of his strategy on future actions against Ukraine was to attract China to his side.

He was also arranged with SI on an equal footing, which confirmed the status of Russia as a great state, and was one of the main subjects of its concern. In fact, of course, they were not equal. If China was once a junior partner of the Soviet Union in the Communist International, now Russia is a weaker partner in this tandem. While China is competing with the United States for the first place in the international economic rating, Russia is no longer in the top ten.

Friendship without borders, these two promised that their friendship would not "have borders". They signed a long communique, which characterized their countries as supporting the fundamental principles of the United Nations, adhere to international law, confirm human rights, truly democratic, ready to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in their safety and share their determination.

Ukraine was not mentioned in the communique, only the proposals of the Russian Federation were mentioned "to create long -term legally binding security guarantees in Europe", which was supported by the Chinese side. In response, the Russian side confirmed "its support for the principle of one China" and opposed "any forms of independence of Taiwan. " Not surprisingly, these two men, who are now 69 years old, can admire a lot in each other.

They both found ways to strengthen their autocratic rule, bypassing the constitutions that provided leaders' rotation, limiting the presidents in two terms. They both suppressed independent media, preventing dissident thoughts and reflecting dissatisfaction. They both use ultranationalism along with regular references to World War II as a means of mobilizing public support.

(The communique was sharply condemned by "actions aimed at denying the responsibility for the atrocities of Hitler's aggressors, militaristic invaders and their associates who deny and shame the honor of the victorious countries. ") Leaders with the opportunity to act decisively and boldly.

They are both in the process of demonstrating how autocracy (which just give the supreme leaders the opportunity to act decisively and boldly) lead to a catastrophically bad policy, which will then be difficult to refuse. As if illustrating this since these two met, Putin failed to conquer Ukraine, and these could not curb the Covid-19. In terms of mortality per capita - if you believe in official statistics - China has achieved more success than most other countries.

But these promised the zero level of the Covid-19, which was impossible. Due to the resistance of the disease and the low quality of Chinese, coronavirus vaccines continue to manifest itself. The authorities fear that the Covid-19 can get out of control and thus expose SI in a senseless light. To prevent this from happening, as soon as in a particular area, even asymptomatic cases appear, dragon quarantines are introduced.

Every time this happens, popular dissatisfaction increases and the economy slows down. This exacerbates the sole economic situation, reflecting global problems (exacerbated by Russian energy supply) and internal problems, which are largely related to the collapse of the real estate sector due to large debts.