Take Kyiv. What happens at the border with Belarus and whether the attempt will attack the capital of Ukraine

"The likelihood of a new invasion of Belarus is one of the most common topics today. Therefore, it is time to say clearly what forces concentrated Minsk and Moscow on the territories border with Ukraine. . Opinion. We. From Ukraine, from the first day of the war, focus has not stopped working for a minute. Our team considers the duty to inform the reader about what is happening, to collect and analyze facts, to resist hostile propaganda. Today, focus needs your support to continue your mission.

Thank you for being with us. Today, the more or less capable potential of the Belarus army is 20 BTGR. Number - about 14 thousand. Not all units have a full complete set, but in general it is a conventionally capable part of the Army of the RB. BTGR data units are distributed to the regions of Belarus, and there are 6 BTGRs near the borders with Ukraine, distributed along the border.

In particular, in the Uzovo and Pinsk Brest region there are units of 38 ODSBR up to 2 DSBs, in the Ivanovo area, units 5 of the SPP were deployed, in the area of ​​Lelchyk and Bragin - units 103 of the ATSBR up to 2 DBB. Placement of the puppies of the units, their number and composition do not indicate the formation of a shock group. On the territory of the RB there are now units of 2 MSD 1 and a replacement of 9 thousand people (13 BTGR).

All of them are compactly placed on landfills: Ovz-Lisnovsky (10 BTGRU), Lepelsky (1 BTGR), Osipovich (1BTGR) and Losvido (1 BTGR). But, I will say so, they cannot be fully defined as BTGR, because they have catastrophic shortcut.

For example, instead of regular 143 tanks, all this plowing has just over 50 tanks, and instead of 429 BBM they have about 50! Basically, this contingent is equipped with automotive equipment, but with heavy, light -hearted, as well as artillery in them a sharp non -complex. In addition, Russia continues to export ammunition and equipment from the territory of Belarus. The export is carried out: the formation of a shock group from the departments of the ROV is not observed today.

The total impact potential of the Army of the RB and the departments of ROV in the territory of Belarus is a maximum of 23 thousand or, depending on the appointment, from 23 to 28 BTGR. But this is given the involvement of absolutely a conventionally capable resource of the RB Army. I will remind that in February from the territory of the RB, 40 BTGRs invaded the territory of Ukraine, which were considered the elite of the Russian army, the most professional and equipped.

This resource was enough for them only for a month. To date, there is no shock group formation on the territory of the RB. I do not rule out that it can start tomorrow or a week, in a month or never. But the formation of a shock group is not one day. It is a long, painstaking process that cannot be carried out unnoticed, and when it begins, you will find out about it. The resource that is in the territory of the RB is certainly a threat, like any other enemy resource.