"Putin will lower the ambitions": in the US intelligence estimated the likelihood of Russian offensive on Ukraine in 2023
She noted that Russian troops were not able to conduct a large-scale offensive operation by the end of this year. The actions of the Russian Federation will not depend on the result of the counter -offensive of the Armed Forces. In her opinion, mobilization in Russia will not be affected by significant supply of ammunition from third countries, except for existing deliveries from Iran and other authoritarian states.
"Russia will be increasingly difficult to support even modest offensive operations," she explained to the representatives of the Senate Committee on the Armed Forces. In her opinion, Kremlin head Vladimir Putin will reduce the level of his ambitions in Ukraine. Its main task is to "consolidate efforts to control the occupied territory in the east and south of Ukraine, as well as an effort to get guarantees, Ukraine will never become a member of NATO.
" Heins is unsure of Russia's ability to agree on a truce this year, but it has not excluded "the impact of certain political factors" that are capable of changing Russia's behavior. She drew attention to the preparation of Russian troops for the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces, as invaders prepare "new defensive positions".
We will remind, in his video message from the technical frequent army of Russia, Dmitry Rogozin stated that Russia has every right to use tactical nuclear weapons to reflect the counter -offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. At the time of the video recording, he was allegedly in the temporarily occupied territories of Zaporizhzhya region. He drew attention to the military doctrine of the Russian Federation, according to which the Russian army can use tactical nuclear weapons.