The occupiers are panic fear: the Armed Forces identified three directions for counter -offensive
However, it has an important aspect: it says that the loss is really giant, and there is a reason to rush with mobilization. Whereas we enter in April with successfully conducted mobilization (albeit and not without sins), formed and even trained crews provided with equipment and ammunition. The Russians come in with exhausted troops and the beginning of a new wave of mobilization, after which for at least two months it is needed to study. 2.
Russian warriors in one voice sadly talked about our counter -offensive. They claim that we have already accumulated very serious troops for this, and yesterday we were intelligent fighting in the Zaporozhye direction. And now about the strategic assessment of the situation. The Russians drove themselves into the Bakhmut trap. They made value themselves and now they cannot afford to stop storming it. Although strategically there are other important directions: flint and coal.
In both these directions, the breakthrough will be seriously threatened with our defense. Under the Kremlin breakthrough on the estuary and further on Sloviansk will jeopardize all the defense of Siversk and Bakhmut, including. The breakthrough under the collet will jeopardize the defense of Avdiivka, Marinka and other points near Donetsk. While the breakthrough and admiration under Bakhmut do not pose any special threat.
That is why the vagena were thrown at Bakhmut, as not regular and elite troops, while the Kremlin and Cololedar storm the elite DShV and Marines. However, Wagner has failed in Bakhmut, so now two landing regiments were thrown there, and thus reduced the pressure on the key directions of Kreminna and Coal. As a result, the invaders were lacking in the initiative and lacking the strength to achieve a breakthrough.
At the same time, we have accumulated reserves, appliances and shells on the eve of good weather. The occupiers are now afraid of the direction of our blow. There are three such areas. The first is through Kremin on Svatovo or Starobilsk - it will put in the difficult situation of the invaders in Lisichansk and Severodonetsk and will make them show the regular gestures of goodwill.
The second is from Volnovakha and Mariupol, which will jeopardize their entire Southern Corridor, and it is even difficult to evaluate the moral blow to the enemy in the event of our return Mariupol. The third direction is Melitopol with the prospect of invasion in Crimea. In fact, when stuck in Bakhmut, they could not reduce the threat of these strokes.
If they concentrated all the efforts on Kremlin or Coal, then the number of directions of our counter -offensive could be seriously reduced, and, accordingly, it would be easier for the occupiers to prepare defense. Now they must keep serious forces to defense for each of the possible areas of impact. And this further reduces their ability to advance. Therefore, there are forces, weapons are, there are opportunities, even the weather is. God for us.