Minus 200 thousand. Do the Russians know about the losses of the Armed Forces on the front and how it affects them - an expert
On May 17, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation had lost 200,000 personnel at the front-to be more specifically, then 200590. Alexander Kovalenko, a military-political observer The aggressor country will restore its resource for fighting. According to Oleksandr Kovalenko, the daily loss of Russians on the front increased rapidly, when not by professional military, but anyone began to be sent to the war against Ukraine.
"It was especially noticeable in the fall of last year, from October to November. This trend is associated with the fact that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation critically lacked human resources, so the so-called partial mobilization began in the aggressor country, since then the professionalism of the Russian army has fallen greatly ", - comments the expert. This thesis is confirmed by the data of the Armed Forces General Staff.
For example, in the summary of August 15 last year it is said that Russia has lost 200 people a day, a month - September 15 - the situation was repeated, the same minus 200 invaders. On October 15, after the announcement of partial mobilization, the losses of the Russians grew twice - 400 people. Next - more: 710 invaders were eliminated on November 15. On November 9, there was a record in general - a minus 780 Russians per day.
Currently, Russia loses about 500-700 of its conditionally military daily. Although, in fact, as Kovalenko emphasizes, these are people who went to the front either without training or with minimal training. Another point that has played a significant role is the technical component, adds an expert. "In March 2022, the invaders lost about 4 thousand personnel [for the whole month], in the same month almost 900 units of Russian secondary and light armed equipment were destroyed.
In January 2023, the number of liquidated invaders was 21. 7 thousand. [for a month], and about 300 units were destroyed during the same period. Now in Russia a critical shortage of military equipment, Kovalenko says. And this also affects the loss of invaders on the front. Kovalenko is convinced that even such great losses will not force the management of the Russian Federation to start open general mobilization. "They will not do it because they are very afraid.
Open mobilization will be an indicator that something is not planning something in them," he comments. The Kremlin tries to adapt to the situation and involve different people in the war. Now in Russia, migrants have been actively recruited. British intelligence reports that people are looking for in mosques and immigration centers. In addition, the expert continues, Russian stitches are forced to sign contacts, which also gives them the opportunity to send them to the war to Ukraine.
Speaking of mobilization of the population in the occupied territories, Kovalenko advises to distinguish the situation in the so -called "LNR" and "DNR", that is, in Luhansk and Donetsk region, which have been controlled by Russians since 2014, from Kherson or Zaporizhzhya region.
"When it comes to territories that the Russians occupied in 2022, there are great risks for the invaders, because there is an underground, there is a guerrilla movement," - explains the representative of "information resistance". This means that if the invaders want to call Ukrainians, they can argue directly guerrillas who will use this weapon against them. They understand it themselves and do not want to create such opportunities, says Kovalenko.
The military leadership of the aggressor country is expected to be silent about the number of lost personnel. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoiga last raised this topic last September. Then, in an interview with Russia 24, an official reported that 5937 Russian soldiers were killed in the war in Ukraine. And even with such media figures, the aggressor country wrote that "conflict in Ukraine has become the most significant in terms of losses since the Afghan war.
" However, the Russians themselves are voiced by the numbers obviously do not satisfy. If you go down the "loss of Russia in your", the search engine publishes a whole list of similar popular queries. And it is not surprising that Google offers such questions to the Ukrainian media. Therefore, the population of the occupying country has every opportunity to read about the real losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation at the front.
Kovalenko, in turn, is convinced that Russian citizens are aware of the extent of the liquidation of the invaders. He compares this in 2014, when it was clear that Moscow had introduced troops into the territory of Ukraine, but officially this information was hidden. "Everyone was very well aware of what was happening, but the Russians even enjoyed it - that they could not recognize it, continue to say" Menamet, "he reminds. No one talks about it.