"Putin hates Lukashenko." Why the Belarusian dictator "slaps the tongue" about nuclear weapons and how "changes" the abolition of sanctions. Interview
Video of the day-I have to quote Lukashenko, because the quote is bright, about the nuclear weapons, which he will be bombing Su-24 bombers. He addresses the Western countries: “They need to understand that no helicopters, planes, if they are exacerbated, will not be saved. We once with Putin in Peter stated that we were converting the Belarusian planes "SU" so that they could carry nuclear weapons. Do you think we are tongue slap? Everything is ready! ”.
What reaction does he expect when making similar statements? - His statements are aimed primarily at the Belarusian people who are subjected to propaganda, who does not understand what is happening. It is necessary to evaluate exactly what he says, especially for Belarusians, not for the world community. We now consulted with the military, and they say that such aircraft such a modification 10 years ago were cut into metal.
Either he confused the modification of the aircraft, or he didn't like talking, or there was no event at all. -Is it really a language figure-to name any plane, to say that it will carry nuclear weapons? Do you explain that? - Yes, only so. He is not a specialist. He is not a military. He has a lot of blunders in a speech. What came to his tongue, he says. - The nuclear weapon is perceived by the civilized world very seriously. Iran, North Korea, Russia.
If Lukashenko states that he can appear nuclear weapons, how should they respond? What should happen next? He is not now handshake, but what can be development? - Nuclear weapons are needed primarily for blackmail. If it is in the country, then it has more weight, it can blackmail its enemies with these weapons. And he decided, apparently, to hang out. I doubt that Putin will give him nuclear weapons, otherwise he will start blackmail Putin. This is impossible in today's conditions.
They and Putin, on the one hand, friends, but in fact Putin hates him, because Lukashenko wants to stand in his place. He wanted in the early 1990s, when he only elected the President, to restore the Soviet Union, to be president of the Soviet Union and Russia. Putin understands it, he will never give him nuclear weapons in his life. - On August 25, the US Embassy stated that Lukashenko had transferred Belarus to the Kremlin for military needs, "his complicity will not be response.
" It's not a surprise for Lukashenko, right? Could it provoke the next day a statement that "look, be afraid, and here I will throw nuclear bombs here"? - Yes, I think it could provoke Lukashenko's statement. Earlier, the United States did not make such statements, and now they did. And Lukashenko, apparently, was scared. We know that he is trying to trade with Europe, to go to the special services of European countries. Perhaps for US special services.
But such a statement from the state, which in the world is most influential, could have been influenced, of course, that Lukashenko began to threaten his side. - He goes to European intelligence services for what? What is the purpose? What communication does they want to lead through them? - sanctions affect the economic status of Belarus. They can cause economic collapse. Lukashenko always, when sanctions were imposed, invented various special operations for the sanctions to be lifted.
For example, he began to trade political prisoners. He always took the hostages of political prisoners and exchanged them for sanctions. The sanctions were abolished, he will release someone, everything is fine, the economy begins to develop. Or the special operation of the gateway is the transfer of migrants to the EU. He opened the border, border guards and KGBs engaged in crossing illegals, creating an artificial crisis in EU countries.
He needs the removal of sanctions, the removal of political pressure. Because in Belarus everything goes to the point that there will be an economic collapse soon. The Belarusian ruble is restrained. There is information that the money is printed and the course at the same place is worth it. The same situation was in 2011, when the dollar in one day increased seven times. It can happen in Belarus soon.
- Does Russia not put a shoulder so that Lukashenko's regime continues and showed the world that sanctions are indifferent to him? - has to substitute. They need Lukashenko to be nearby. But put in exchange for something. Lukashenko will again sell them something-a strategic enterprise, land, rights to something, promises to recognize "DNR", "LNR" or anything. Definitely, Lukashenko will have to exchange this help for something. And this is an exchange of independence. This is a loss of independence.
- The US Embassy continues to operate in Belarus. Is it such an enemy island in the middle of Belarus? How does Lukashenko fight or do not fight this? - To expel the embassy is a serious step. And as I know, the US ambassador to Belarus did not reach. I do not really know if the embassy operates, but the ambassador was not there for sure. The US Emboste came to Warsaw, I met her, Julie Fisher, and then this ambassador went to Vilnius and was there all the time. She has now returned to Washington.
- A statement of the Chief of the Main Operational Management of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexei Gromov appeared. He said that up to 13,000 Belarusian security forces are ready to fight in Ukraine. How do you evaluate this figure? How realistic does it seem realistic? - I think this information is unreliable.
The realities are that in the Belarusian army, in any Belarusian society, in any institution, an organization, if you come to you by a manager with a certain letter, you have to sign it-it does not matter what it is written. Otherwise, you will be released, or you will be repressed. The same servicemen are dependent: they came to such a letter that "I agree to participate in the special operation", "on, here will be signed here. " And they all signed in silence, even without reading.
And if they read, they still signed. And what they think is still unknown. - Can it be on paper? - Yes, they were handed over to this consent, and people were forced to sign. Now there is no sociology in Belarus, it is impossible to carry out some analysis. And to ask people - no one will tell you the truth on the street! Even if you close his face, you will go. Even anonymous people are afraid to say something. So it is impossible to find out the truth.
And to believe in official documents is at all! - Belarusian colleagues and I discussed the role of Kastyus Kalinowski regiment. The idea was that Lukashenko was afraid of him. The Kalinowski regiment sets itself two goals - first the liberation of Ukraine, and the main goal is the liberation of Belarus from this dictatorial regime. Lukashenko may consider the option that if he introduced his troops into the territory of Ukraine, some of these troops can go to the Kalinowski regiment.
To what extent is this realistic assessment? How much does it look like? -The fact that Lukashenko is afraid of the Kalinowski regiment and any other units of Belarusians that have weapons undergoing special military training is one hundred percent. In these cases, meetings are held regularly in all special services and are tasked with destroying, defeating all this on the root. We know it reliably. Even we prepare our people, and Lukashenko is very afraid of it.
So will the regiment enter Belarus? I know that the purpose of them, of course, return to Belarus, free it from the dictatorship. Will they be able to enter and how? I think it depends on the Ukrainian authorities first and foremost. - You said that you are in touch with those Belarusians who are fighting on our side in the Kalinowski regiment.
And what do they tell you what they personally see? - We were trained by BYPol fighters who voluntarily left for Ukraine, joined the Kalinowski regiment, as it is the largest Belarusian unit that continues to serve there. We even have one dead - a call sign, maybe heard, [died] with Brest - this was the commander of the battalion Volat. - My condolences. We heard about it, of course. - Of course, I keep in touch with them, I get the information that is going on.
And I know that two battalions in different places of Ukraine fulfill their duty to protect Ukraine from the Russian invasion. They are involved in hostilities. But I will not pass these stories. You have enough information about hostilities and from Ukrainian servicemen. - What happened in the gun when there were so -called boys? - There is still no reliable information that happened there. We can only make assumptions based on these boys, explosions and satellite images.