Putin prepares a coup in Moldova: abolished the decree on respect for the borders and sovereignty of the country
" It cannot be said that this decree had some significant importance, influenced the resolution of many years of conflict and was generally a defining document. No, just a piece of paper is not done in general, like most Russian documents, but . . . with an opponent thrown with a glove. Well, under the opponent, Putin implies the current power in Chisinau.
While many people ask me about the activation of the occupiers on February 24 in the war zone in Ukraine, it is worth asking that exacerbation can occur not only on our front line, but also taking into account the prerequisites - in Moldova.
It sounds somewhat surreal for those who are not aware, and therefore to understand this layer, it is necessary to clarify whether the potential has the illegal armed formations of "PMR" and so -called peacekeepers to implement a scenario of invasion of Moldova and the overthrow of the current power.
Given that I have repeatedly written about this scenario, namely the availability of a shock resource up to 9 thousand personnel sufficient to cut Moldova into two parts and to enter the Chisinau, I will pay attention to the terms. How can a Moldova attack be organized soon? In general, the Transnistrian group that the Russian "OGRV", which NFF "PMR" is constantly in a state of increased combat readiness, so if necessary for three days they can easily be brought to combat order.
But there is a nuance . . . First, if we talk about the Kremlin's plans for Moldova, they, if they take into account solely clashes with the Moldovan army and law and order, certainly have every chance of successful implementation of this no longer a hybrid project.
But if the collision is not limited to the Moldova Army? The Kremlin has serious fears that if its hybrids are activated in Moldova, the Armed Forces will not be left away, and this is up to 2-3 weeks of complete clearing of Transnistria for those forces that are now concentrated in the Odessa region. And on February 24, the dangerous date is not so for Ukraine as for… Moldova.
After increasing activity along the front line, Russia can distract the attention and resources of the Armed Forces from Moldova. Although Transnistria played a completely reverse role in 2022 - the resource has been shaken by a potential threat to the Odessa region by PMR.
Secondly, in Transnistria itself, the mood is not warlike, to trace there the lack of a desire to go into a "bloody battle" on Chisinau, and even more so understanding of the risks of participation of the Armed Forces on the side of Moldova and the prospects of this can be easily. That is why motivation is a kind of one . . . Of course, Putin not just defined his own decree. It is a signal that Russia will act on Moldova. It will happen on February 24 or May 9, or June 22 - not so important.