There will be no resort season in Crimea: Russia is in a hurry to prepare for the defense of the peninsula
But the question: what kind of marine landing do they prepare? Ukraine does not have enough landing tools, including large/medium/small landing ships/boats to sell such landing. In addition, the presence of BCCC Bastion Bastion is jeopardizing such a scenario as a major loss as the landing process itself. That is, the Russians are now preparing in the occupied Crimea for a script that will not be implemented in any circumstances.
This suggests that the Crimea is currently a banal sawing of a budget loot as last. Although why, "last?" It is the last one. It laughs that the coastline in a number of locations, for example, in Evpatoria, dig trenches where even theoretically the planting of the landing would not be done, as it is irrational and senseless.
But still, if you talk about the release of Crimea, what will be the script? Since 2022, I have always been given the opinion that it will be a snake island script, adapted for a slightly larger territory. Scenario of complete isolation of the Crimea peninsula from the outside world and methodological, systematic annihilation of the invaders. The main task of the Armed Forces for the start of the active phase of this scenario is to reach the administrative border of the peninsula.
After that, the formation of shock-free potential will begin to fulfill tasks for the destruction of all military facilities and military infrastructure on the peninsula. In fact, the Armed Forces can provide 4 areas of damage, taking into account the available and promising means of damage that we can obtain (or already get). And these zones are quite enough to force the roar to squeeze in the southern location, exposing or at least weakening the north and center of the peninsula.
I would like to point out that the lesions are indicated taking into account the safety buffer for the means of defeat up to 20 km. That is, up to +20-30% by range to the specified values. For its part, an important point will be the restoration of complete control over the Azov Sea and the task of the damage to the unified logistics artery that connects mainland Russia and the peninsula - the Crimean bridge.
The preservation of a ferry is possible only for civilian purposes, but if used to provide the peninsula by the forces and means of the mole, such ferries should be destroyed in the sea or in ports, because during the transport of troops they can be covered by civilians. Yes, the contingent ROV on the peninsula will be in isolation and daily will carry losses, the recovery of which will not be possible.
That is, a daily disadvantage, which will lead to the full loss of combat capability of the units in the Crimea. This is just one of the scripts that see the most clearly me, but at the same time on a table in the General Staff of the Armed Forces, more than sure that there are several similar scenarios and some of them are much more unexpected than this template pattern of a larger surgery than it was on the island of Snake.