Eggs are more expensive, buckwheat is cheaper. How prices in Ukraine change and what are the rockets of the Russian Federation here
In fact, the eggs in Ukraine in the rise in prices are leading with a large separation, which affected inflation. Other goods from the consumer basket of Ukrainians also rise in price. However, there are exceptions to the general trend of price gallop. According to the latest data of the State Statistics Service, consumer prices in October 2022 increased by 2. 5%compared to September. Inflation in the annual deduction per month accelerated up to 26. 6% compared to 24. 6% in September.
The growth driver was food. The State Statistics Committee states that in October, food prices and soft drinks increased by 4. 2%. Most of all - 60. 5% - eggs went up. And prices for lard, vegetables, fruits, meat, soft drinks, fish, cheese, oil, milk increased in the range of 11. 3-2. 3%. Top 10 products that went up in October compared to September "Unfortunately, inflation remains significantly higher than the target range that would be acceptable in current economic conditions.
However, due to the administrative restraint of natural gas and electricity prices for the population. The inflation rate is lower than it could be in the absence of state interference in the pricing in the energy market, " - comments Dmitry Churin, director of the Analytical Department of Invest Company Eavex Capital. In fact, against the background of a number of products of electricity and natural gas for the population did not change, and hot water and heating in October fell by 0.
2%compared to September. Vitaliy Vavryshchuk, Head of the ICU Macroeconomic Research Department, also adds that an important fact is the stabilization of fuel prices, which have practically not changed in October, but their growth in annual calculation is 62%.
"Against the backdrop of the cereals and flour prices for the last three months, the harvest of cereals and flour has slowed down," - continues the head of the pricing department and the agricultural market of the National Scientific Center "Inna Salo Institute of Agrarian Economy" . Referring to the data minfin. com.
ua, the interlocutor of focus gives an example of consumer prices for flour, which during October almost did not change, and within two weeks of November they decreased by almost 5% to 21. 06 UAH per kg. In addition, from the beginning of October to mid-November, buckwheat fell to UAH 76. 37 per kg (-7. 3%). "In early November 2022, prices for most types of meat suspended their growth and even decreased compared to the beginning of October 2022.
And retail prices for beef goulash, chicken lower legs and chicken fillet remained at the beginning of October," - continues Inna Salo. According to the monitoring of retail prices in grocery supermarkets, as of mid -November, prices for the above products were fixed at the level: in the period from October 1 to November 15, 2022 there was a tendency to reduce pork prices, namely: most of the last year, paddy has risen in the last year. -43. 4-63. 5% depending on the type.
But in October, the cost of pork decreased by 1-6. 1%, which is caused by both an increase in pork imports and an increase in the sale November can be said about a seasonal reduction in prices for such vegetables and fruits. "The key factor affecting inflation is a full -scale war. In October, food prices grew as soon as possible and demand for various non -food products - first of all heaters, plates, lanterns, etc.
- all that is required in the event of electricity disconnection, " - comments Maxim Samoylyuk, expert of the Center for Economic Strategy (CES). Prom. ua focus said that the average cost of some popular categories has increased by 10%, and electric generators - by 50%. "The destruction of production chains has led to a limit of a number of goods.
In October, for example, there was a particularly noticeable history with egg prices, which increased by 61% during the month and 81% to a year, " - said Vitaliy Vavryshchuk.
Svetlana Pashko, a senior researcher Economics "confirms that the greatest impact on the cost of eggs was full -scale aggression of the Russian Federation, through which the enterprises of the industry were reduced or stopped, partially suspended the incubation With the arrival of the market of private farms, the price of eggs has decreased, since September, with the return to the market of agricultural enterprises, there is an increase in wholesale and selling prices, which establish poultry farms in order to compensate for their losses related to the situation in the country,-Svetlana Pashko continues.
-As a result, from the beginning of June to the end of October 2022 the price of eggs increased more than 2. 5 times-from UAH 28-30 to 74-76 UAH ". However Agrarian economy, by the end of the year, egg prices can stabilize and even start a decrease. Irina Salo calls such factors that affect the increase in the cost of products: Russian energy terrorism, which lasts from October 10, 2022, additionally contributed to the acceleration of inflation .
"Emergency and fan power outages in October have become a very significant problem for production enterprises. Difficulties throughout the consumer and products production chain have led to an increase in consumer imports, which in most cases leads to an increase in price tags on the shelves of retaile This in the short term should create the basis for stabilization of food prices. Other experts are not so optimistic.
Due to the problems with the supply of a number of goods and services and the increase in production costs Vitaliy Vavryshchuk expects inflation to accelerate inflation up to 32% in February 2023 and slowed down since March 2023 The effect of a high comparison base. It is interesting that, compared to other countries in Central Europe, prices in Ukraine do not look so scary.
As Maxim Samoylyuk notes, most countries that now have high inflation are also affected by Russian aggression against Ukraine. Inflation In Ukraine, the expert compares with the indicators of the following countries: "On Inflation in these countries, as in Ukraine, is influenced by the rise in food, fuel and, especially energy, - Samoylyuk comments.
- That is, the war -solved by Russia directly beats the economy of these countries, which becomes another argument in favor of helping Ukraine on the way to the speedy victory. "Also, the interlocutor of focus gives an example of inflation in Turkey, where the annual figure in October reached 85, 5%.