From the collapse to the Civil War: Professor described the future of the Russian Federation after defeat in Ukraine

Vladimir Putin, as a professor of American University Alexander Motyl, is ready for everything, and the event needs to be calculated further, as from 5 to 20 new independent states can occur on the site of Russia. Russia is not capable of winning a full -scale war against Ukraine, and defeat can lead not only to the collapse of the country, but also to provoke civil conflicts between the subjects of the federation.

Professor of Political Sciences of Ratgar University Alexander Motyl told this in an interview with TSN. According to him, in the first days of a full -scale invasion, no one could imagine that Russia could disappear from the political map of the world. The 11 months of the war showed the true potential of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and proved that Ukraine can win an armed conflict.

In addition, as a butterfly notes, a number of military failures automatically deprived the invaders of the largest army of the world. Given that Russia is unable to win a full -scale war, the Western countries should consider the possible scenario of the collapse of the Russian Federation. "Russia can break into parts that can lead to a civil war or at all to war between different parts .

Every day, it becomes more real, " - continued the professor, adding that the event should calculate further actions, as there may be from 5 to 20 new independent states at the site of Russia. In dealing with journalists, Motyl gave an example of the early 1990s, when Western countries were cautious about the possible collapse of the USSR.

The then US President George Bush Srish, speaking in the Verkhovna Rada, argued that Ukrainians should not do nationalism, and within a few months the Soviet Union disappeared from the world map. Motyl does not doubt that the Kremlin's head Vladimir Putin will last for his power, without sparing the "spending" of his own people, as he does during the war in Ukraine. "So there are different options (in the event of the collapse of Russia - ed.

), Which can be very unpleasant for all, not only for Russians, Ukrainians, but the US and all over the world. Therefore, we need to think about it and somehow prepare. At least that we are This was not surprised by this. And maybe it is necessary to accelerate this process. But this is another difficult question, because it means to undermine Putin's power itself, "the professor summarized in an interview with TSN.

On January 11, a similar prognosis for the possible collapse of Russia was published on January 11 by The Financial Times. The author of Casey Michel came to the conclusion that the Russian Federation can disappear from the political map of the world against the backdrop of a number of military failures in Ukraine and a wave of dissatisfaction, which is revealed by national minorities within the federation.