There are 200 thousand. How many more Putin can mobilize for war in Ukraine
After the start of a full -scale invasion and loss of personnel armies, the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin has already announced partial mobilization. The relevant decree was signed on September 21, 2022, and 320,000 people were mobilized to the army. It is noteworthy that at that moment, that is, the beginning of November, the number of losses of personnel was about 75 thousand people. In half a year, the number of losses increased by one and a half times.
What can be a confirmation of poor training and provision of the military, as well as the so -called "meat attacks". It is not the first time that another mobilization of Putin's surroundings. On May 10, the former head of Roscosmos, and now, as he calls himself, "the head of the group of military advisers" Dmitry Rogozin called for the second wave of mobilization in the Russian Federation. "It should be borne in mind that the enemy is stronger than us.
We cannot act here in such a way that everyone is for ourselves. Therefore, mobilization is needed. It had to go away not only one in the early autumn Personnel, because the boys are injured, our fighters are killed, "Rogozin said. Instead, on May 10, Putin signed a decree on the conscription of Russians in stock. The number of men who are called for military meetings is not indicated and encrypted by the "for official use" mark.
At the same time, state Duma deputies have already found a solution to how to improve the preparation of the mobilized. Member of the Defense Committee, Lieutenant General Viktor Sobolev offered citizens who came out of conscription age but remain in a mobilization reserve, call for study. In his opinion, at the meeting for those who served, "they do nothing", but at a separate meeting-it will be possible to obtain a military accounting specialty.
On August 25, 2022, Putin signed a decree to increase the number of Russian Armed Forces to 2 039 758 people, including 1 150 628 servicemen, the rest of the administrative and service personnel. It is a professional army and military personnel by call, the number of persons who constitute the so -called mobilization potential is a military secret.
Due to the significant losses incurred during the invasion of Ukraine, almost all Russian military units are personnel, that is, they need to complete. According to The Military Balance 2023, produced by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, as of the beginning of the year, the number of Russian army was 1 million 190 thousand people. 1. 5 million people who were in the reserve should be added here, and as many as military service.
It is necessary to allocate 559 thousand personnel employees of paramilitary units, such as Rosgvardia, the FSB Border Service. At the level of propaganda statements, Russian politicians and journalists assure that, if necessary, the Russian Federation can mobilize 30 million people or more if such a need arises. There is part of the truth, because with such human potential that is in the Russian Federation, the mobilization of the required number depends only on organizational issues and time.
Another thing is the country's opportunity to provide an army of such sizes. "The Russian mobilization potential is 1. 5 million prepared, and about 30 million total numbers. Unfortunately, these figures are not optimistic to us. But it should be noted that the Russian Federation will not be able to provide them all, there are huge problems with logistics.
, in the elite airborne troops there are no elementary personal means of protection, the soldiers lacks bulletproof vests and first aid kits, "-says Focus military expert Dmitry Snegirev. In turn, military expert Mikhail Zhirokhov notes that losses of 200,000 people in the Russian occupation army are not as optimistic as it seems at first glance. He recalls that it is not only about irreversible losses, that is, killed, but also other categories.
"I do not think that 200 thousand people are close to reality. At one time the General Staff of the Armed Forces gave an explanation that in addition to the killed they include sanitary losses as well as those who were missing or captivity. According to my estimates, the number killed somewhere levels 20-25 thousand. All this plays them in their hand, because they really have not even used their mobilization potential.
They can mobilize several million in the Russian Federation, the only question is whether they can provide them-feed, equip, pay, pay, " Explains the focus of Girokhov. It reminds that in the population of the Russian Federation in 140 million versus 30-32 million in Ukraine, the advantage in mobilization potential is obvious.
Experts surveyed by focus note that attempts to calculate the possibilities of the Russian Federation to mobilize the required number of soldiers are currently irrelevant because they correlate with the possibility of their provision. After all, a mobilized array of people is not yet an army without at least minimal training, material support, weapons and combat coordination.
With this, the Russian Federation has major problems due to total corruption, because there are no appropriate equipment in warehouses, military equipment is preserved "on paper", and in fact stolen and sold. The strategic stocks that have accumulated during the USSR are remained in the same era. At the same time, this situation is not only in mobilization issues, but also in a regular army, which is now trying to fight in Ukraine.
It is the lack of appropriate logistics that Snegirev explains the current state of the Russian army in Ukraine. "The lack of technology and providing the Kremlin is trying to compensate for the number of troops by arranging the so -called" meat storms. No more than a political statement to cause a change in mood in Ukraine and Europe. In fact, it will turn into a boomerang effect against the Russians themselves, "the expert says.