The smell of war. Why Serbia and Kosovo can start war and what will do NATO

"Serbs, in principle, understand that their ally Russia does not help them as cynically uses. But it is publicly lacking in spirit. " Opinion. We. From Ukraine, we are similar to the current crisis between Serbia and Kosovo. The script is always one: Kosovo wants to show that the territory where Kosov Serbs live is their country. In response, barricades begin to build, and at the same time Serbia leads troops to the border. In the end, the EU persuades the Cossacks to postpone its plans.

Vicich's profite. In other circumstances, I would give 99%that everything will happen. But this time a completely different international situation. Plus, the Russian Federation pumped Serbia weapons at the rate so that she was shot sooner or later. The accuracy of involvement of the Serbian army in the conflict is very low. In Kosovo there are KFOR peacekeepers. The shot in their direction - and Serbia will have very big problems.

Conflict is possible only in the format of "type brought to the despair of civilians against the arbitrariness of power. " This does not exclude any military combat. That is why Kosovari promptly overlap the border. Although they could already start in advance. A full -fledged conflict does not require either Serbia or Coke. However, if the habitats manage to implement their plan, it will be a huge blow to Vuchich. Therefore, the level of hysterics in Belgrade will be appropriate.

As such a conflict has its specific preconditions that are related to the Russian Federation. But in favor of Russia it is its maximum activation. Russia's position is very specific. On the one hand, Serbia's support and Kosovo's non -recognition. On the other hand, Kosovo precedent is used to substantiate the recognition of any "deenner". That is, de facto Russia agrees with the arguments for Kosovo. Serbs, in principle, understand that their ally does not help them as cynically uses.