"The Great Battle": Where can the Armed Forces start in a new phase of war - The Guardian
The Armed Forces fighters feel that the decisive stage of the war will begin in the coming months. About it reports The Guardian. For 100 km from Zaporizhzhya there are fighters of the 56th Mariupol Motorized Rifle Brigade of the Armed Forces. The fighter Vitaliy says he has been watching the gradual exacerbation of the situation in recent weeks. The number of artillery shelling increased more than twice to 4000 per day.
The publication states that in the coming months, one side will make its move to try to hit the first to get out of the dead end. Now both sides strengthen their defense. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation has erected two other lines of defense in the south of Ukraine, which include mine fields, trenches and concrete pyramids. The Russian Federation seeks to keep Melitopol - a strategically important city that protects the road to Crimea.
From the moment of a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation, only the defeat has been defeated - they have been rejected from northern Ukraine, Kharkiv region and from Kherson. Missile terror also does not produce the desired result, as most of the arsenal of winged missiles is used. And the Ukrainian power system is damaged, but "light is still burning, and the Ukrainian will to fight is unwavering.
" Therefore, the third phase, a full -scale battle for the decisive advantage, will begin soon. The battle will use all -military units - motor infantry, artillery, aviation and perhaps even a marine landing. "The world has seen nothing similar since the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s, and Europe has seen nothing similar since the Second World War," the author emphasizes.
In the conditions of drones and satellite intelligence, the attacking forces can be detected before the actual onset of the offensive. Not only to find, but also to destroy from the RSLS. Ukraine has such capabilities thanks to HIMARS. Analysts say that the Russian Federation has a 150,000th army of mobilized. Due to the fact that the regular army could not conduct coordinated attacks, the mobilized will be worse prepared.
Therefore, their ability to great operations raises the question, however, it will not hurt to throw a living force. The Armed Forces will receive Western armored vehicles in the coming months. The event has decided to send LEOPARD 2, M1 Abrams and Challenger tanks 2. Also, hundreds of BMPs and dozens of SAU. All this weapons are designed to create mechanized assault teams. In addition, about 20,000 soldiers have already learned in NATO countries.
It is expected that in the first months of 2023 their number will increase sharply. Ukraine will try to attack in places where the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be the most vulnerable. "I think that the Ukrainian military command will try to play in the same way as it is still preparing a battlefield for possible operations in different directions, and then strikes where the conditions are the most favorable," said Alexei Melnyk from the Razumkov Analytical Center.
Therefore, the journalist identified 3 possible directions where the main fights will be: the most fierce battles are at the Luhansk and Donetsk front. They can be the most favorable for both the Armed Forces and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The former senior analyst of the Pentagon Dara Massicot believes that for Ukraine, the most advantageous option is the Lugansk direction, where the Armed Forces are now moving in the Kreminna area.
These are cutting ways for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. It is noted that the result of the whole war will be resolved in the south of Ukraine. Regardless of whether the Armed Forces will begin their first offensive in the East, this year will have to return to the south if Ukraine plans to release the Kherson and Zaporizhzhya region and, after all, Crimea. The version of the marine landing across the Dnieper to the left bank of the Kherson region is not excluded.
Small SCO groups will be used for this purpose. The Armed Forces has special forces with American training, and in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation 80th Arctic Brigade-"Elite special forces, trained to fight where it is cold and damp. " The Russian Federation will try to attack Kherson also in the Armed Forces expected that the Russian Federation can try to attack in the Zaporozhye region east of Gulyaypol.
"This is a very strategic point, if the Russians succeed and capture the area, they will be able to move north, and our troops in Donetsk can be trapped," the Ukrainian intelligence officer said. Some of the mobilized Russian Federation is trained in Belarus, but most analysts believe that the new offensive from the north is unlikely. There are no signs that Russian troops are organized there in the form of a shock group with the management structure that is needed by such an offensive unit.