In ISW explained what benefit Putin can get from the incident in Bryansk
According to analysts, the Russian Federation is dissatisfied with the fact that the Russian authorities cannot fully support its rhetoric on Russia's "existential war" in Ukraine. The Kremlin speaker Dmitry Peskov did not answer the question of the transition from "special operation" to the "war" due to the case in the Bryansk region. At the same time, the founder of the Wagner PEC Yevhen Prigogin indicated that the Russian Federation had already allowed a violation of its "red lines".
The head of the temporarily occupied Crimea Sergey Aksyonov and Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov called on Russian authorities to strengthen security measures. According to Kadyrov, for the punishment of the perpetrators it is permissible to attack the civilian population. Processes bloggers demand that the Kremlin recognize the Armed Forces and the Russian Volunteer Corps with terrorist organizations.
One of the bloggers also stated that the Russian Volunteer Corps is behind the murder of Daria Dugina and other acts of terror in the Russian Federation. Among the requirements of Russian bloggers was the strengthening of borders, the allocation of additional resources for border units, the creation of an exclusion zone on the border and the formation of units for the destruction of Ukrainian officials.
"The Kremlin does not have the opportunity to meet all the requirements of these ultrationists, and it can take advantage of this opportunity to introduce additional security measures in Russia, which will benefit Putin without exposing Russia at greater risk or internal disorder - for example, declaring war," the authors said report.
On February 2, Governor Alexander Bogomaz stated that in the territory of the Bryansk region of the Russian Federation, unknown killed a man who was driving a car with a child. Russia reported that it was a group of "Ukrainian saboteurs". Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the penetration of "Ukrainian DRG" into the village of Sushany of Bryansk region is a "terrorist act" of the Ukrainian side against citizens of the Russian Federation, committed by "neo -Nazis and their masters".